{"id":712531,"date":"2026-04-17T15:36:17","date_gmt":"2026-04-17T15:36:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/712531\/"},"modified":"2026-04-17T15:36:17","modified_gmt":"2026-04-17T15:36:17","slug":"lakers-vs-rockets-first-round-scouting-report-prediction-orange-county-register","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/712531\/","title":{"rendered":"Lakers vs. Rockets: First-round scouting report, prediction \u2013 Orange County Register"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>SERIES SCHEDULE<\/p>\n<p>(Best-of-seven, all times are PT)<\/p>\n<p>Game 1 \u2013 Sat., at Lakers, 5:30 p.m., ABC (Ch. 7)<\/p>\n<p>Game 2 \u2013 Tues., at Lakers, 7:30 p.m., NBC (Ch. 4)<\/p>\n<p>Game 3 \u2013 Fri., April 24, at Rockets, 5 p.m., Prime<\/p>\n<p>Game 4 \u2013 Sun., April 26, at Rockets, 6:30 p.m., NBC (Ch. 4)<\/p>\n<p>x-Game 5 \u2013 Wed. April 29, at Lakers, TBD<\/p>\n<p>x-Game 6 \u2013 Fri., May 1, at Rockets, TBD<\/p>\n<p>x-Game 7 \u2013 Sun., May 3, at Lakers, TBD<\/p>\n<p>x \u2013 If necessary<\/p>\n<p>HEAD-TO-HEAD<\/p>\n<p>The Lakers won the season series 2-1<\/p>\n<p>Dec. 25: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ocregister.com\/2025\/12\/25\/lakers-drop-3rd-straight-with-christmas-day-loss-to-rockets\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Rockets 119, Lakers 96, at Crypto.com Arena<\/a><\/p>\n<p>March 16: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ocregister.com\/2026\/03\/16\/lakers-surge-past-rockets-late-for-6th-straight-win\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Lakers 100, Rockets 92, at Houston<\/a><\/p>\n<p>March 18: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ocregister.com\/2026\/03\/18\/luka-doncic-lebron-james-lead-lakers-past-rockets-for-7th-straight-win\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Lakers 124, Rockets 116, at Houston<\/a><\/p>\n<p>TALE OF THE TAPE<\/p>\n<p>Rockets (reg.-season rank) category \u2026 Lakers (reg.-season rank)<\/p>\n<p>52-30 \u2026 Season record \u2026 53-29<\/p>\n<p>115.2 (18th) \u2026 PPG \u2026 116.3 (11th)<\/p>\n<p>110 (4th) \u2026 Opp. PPG \u2026 114.6 (11th)<\/p>\n<p>47.9% (10th) \u2026 FG Pct. \u2026 50.2% (1st)<\/p>\n<p>36.4% (10th) \u2026 3-point Pct. \u2026 35.9% (14th)<\/p>\n<p>76.3% (25th) \u2026 FT Pct. \u2026 76.3% (26th)<\/p>\n<p>48.1 (1st) \u2026 Rebounds \u2026 41 (27th)<\/p>\n<p>25.4 (21st) \u2026 Assists \u2026 25.9 (17th)<\/p>\n<p>8.5 (T-14th) \u2026 Steals \u2026 8.5 (T-14th)<\/p>\n<p>5.8 (3rd) \u2026 Blocked shots \u2026 4.3 (22nd)<\/p>\n<p>15.4 (24th) \u2026 Turnovers \u2026 14.5 (T-15th)<\/p>\n<p>STARTING BACKCOURT<\/p>\n<p>A month ago, when the Lakers beat the Rockets twice in three days in Houston, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ocregister.com\/2026\/03\/17\/luka-magic-as-lakers-star-heats-up-so-has-his-defense\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Luka Doncic was at the forefront of both victories<\/a>. Lakers forward <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ocregister.com\/2026\/03\/05\/lakers-jake-laravia-shares-defensive-lessons-from-marcus-smart\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Jake LaRavia<\/a> described Doncic\u2019s performances during that mid-March span as being on a \u201cheater.\u201d Well, Doncic, the league\u2019s scoring champion at 33.5 points per game, has been out since the start of April with a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ocregister.com\/2026\/04\/03\/lakers-luka-doncic-out-indefinitely-with-hamstring-strain\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Grade 2 left hamstring strain<\/a>. The Slovenian star\u2019s availability for later in the series is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ocregister.com\/2026\/04\/14\/jj-redick-provides-doncic-and-reaves-injury-updates-ahead-of-playoffs-lakers-focus-on-rebounding-vs-rockets\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">murky at best<\/a> as he returns from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ocregister.com\/2026\/04\/13\/reports-lakers-luka-doncic-to-return-from-spain-on-friday-status-remains-unknown\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">treatment in Europe<\/a>. Not to mention, Austin Reaves (career-high 23.3 ppg) joins Doncic on the sidelines, seemingly less likely than his counterpart to return, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ocregister.com\/2026\/04\/04\/lakers-austin-reaves-joins-luka-doncic-in-missing-rest-of-regular-season\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">suffering a Grade 2 left oblique muscle injury in the same game in Oklahoma City<\/a>. Lakers coach <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ocregister.com\/2026\/04\/01\/lakers-coach-jj-redick-says-hes-got-a-lot-left-to-accomplish-after-100th-win\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">JJ Redick<\/a> will need to trust <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ocregister.com\/2026\/03\/20\/im-not-tired-how-lebron-james-set-the-tone-for-the-lakers\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">LeBron James<\/a>, along with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ocregister.com\/2026\/04\/11\/lakers-luke-kennard-relishing-full-circle-role-with-lebron-james\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">swingman-turned-ball handler Luke Kennard<\/a> (8.4 ppg and a league-best 47.8% from 3-point range) and veteran <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ocregister.com\/2026\/04\/13\/marcus-smart-is-back-the-veteran-guard-might-be-just-what-the-lakers-need-for-the-playoffs\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Marcus Smart<\/a> (9.3 ppg, 3.0 assists) in a backcourt combination they never expected. On health alone, Houston has the edge here. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/t\/thompam01.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Amen Thompson<\/a> is a rising star, averaging a career-high 18.3 ppg on a team-best 53.4% from the field while continuing his defensive prowess after earning All-NBA Defensive First Team honors a year ago. Along with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/o\/okogijo01.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Josh Okogie<\/a> (played in a career-high 78 games) and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/s\/sheppre01.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Reed Sheppard<\/a> (13.5 ppg, 43% from the field), the Rockets could ride with either of their sixth-man-like guard options alongside Thompson. EDGE: ROCKETS<\/p>\n<p>STARTING FRONTCOURT<\/p>\n<p>James \u2013 fresh off his record-70th Player of the Week award after he averaged 24 points, 6 rebounds, 9.7 assists and 3 steals \u2013 is the Lakers\u2019 best bet across the board, in the frontcourt, in the backcourt and in all facets of the game. Redick joked Wednesday that the extra days of rest in the series schedule can only help his 41-year-old star, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ocregister.com\/2026\/04\/06\/lebron-james-is-lakers-only-healthy-star-whats-next-with-4-games-left\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">who has been asked to revert back to primary star duties with Doncic and Reaves \u201cindefinitely\u201d off the board<\/a>. Don\u2019t let the career-low scoring average fool you (his 23.3 ppg is a tick below his rookie season in Cleveland), James can still score. Where James might struggle is with his teammates around him in comparison to what Houston offers with the likes of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ocregister.com\/2026\/02\/14\/lakers-luka-doncic-plans-to-play-a-little-bit-in-all-star-game-despite-injury\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Kevin Durant<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/s\/sengual01.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Alperen \u015eeng\u00fcn<\/a>. The Lakers will ride with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ocregister.com\/2025\/05\/19\/rui-hachimura-benefited-from-lakers-coaches-belief\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">forward Rui Hachimura<\/a> and center <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ocregister.com\/2026\/04\/15\/lakers-deandre-ayton-excited-for-return-to-playoffs-i-want-to-do-backflips\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Deandre Ayton to round out the starting lineup<\/a>. In his fourth season in purple and gold, Hachimura had the second-best shooting marks of his career from the field (51.4%) and 3-point range (44.3%). Where Hachimura lacks presence is with his physicality in the paint, averaging a career-low 3.3 rebounds per game. Ayton has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ocregister.com\/2026\/03\/14\/lakers-center-deandre-aytons-force-becomes-vital-part-of-successful-stretch\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">had an up-and-down season<\/a> despite playing in a career-high 72 games. The Lakers\u2019 7-footer averaged career-low marks in points (12.5 ppg) and rebounds (8 rpg), but that\u2019s partly because he\u2019s become more of a role player alongside Doncic, Reaves and James. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/d\/duranke01.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Durant<\/a>, who is facing off against James in the playoffs for the first time since the 2018 NBA Finals, paces the Houston offense with 26 ppg on 52% shooting from the field and 41.3% from 3-point range. The 6-11 Sengun has become the backbone of Rockets coach <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/u\/udokaim01.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Ime Udoka<\/a>\u2019s teams, coming off his second consecutive All-Star appearance. He averages 20.4 ppg, 8.9 rebounds and 6.2 assists, and his three offensive boards per game help make the Rockets\u2019 frontcourt a difficult group to handle. Although quieter compared to the Rockets\u2019 stars, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/s\/smithja05.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Jabari Smith Jr.<\/a> has posted career-high scoring numbers (15.8 ppg) while primarily starting. EDGE: ROCKETS<\/p>\n<p>BENCHES<\/p>\n<p>These are the two lowest-scoring bench offenses in the league. The Lakers are 29th at 29.3 ppg, and the Rockets are last at 27.6 ppg. It\u2019s slim pickings on both ends, but because the Lakers\u2019 injuries have forced players like Kennard into starting roles, the bench has at times been relying on players like <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ocregister.com\/2026\/03\/26\/lakers-bronny-james-im-just-trying-to-prove-myself\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">second-year guard Bronny James<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ocregister.com\/2026\/03\/01\/lakers-rookie-adou-thiero-continuing-to-adjust-to-life-between-nba-g-league\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">forward Jarred Vanderbilt<\/a> \u2013 a player who exchanged words with Redick during a timeout a week and a half ago. LaRavia, the hard-nosed defensive forward, is the first man off the bench for the Lakers despite inconsistent scoring, while <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ocregister.com\/2026\/03\/07\/lakers-thriving-as-luka-doncic-and-jaxson-hayes-connect\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">backup center Jaxson Hayes could end up with more minutes than Ayton in some games<\/a>, after averaging 7.5 ppg and 4.1 rebounds in 18.3 minutes per game. For the Rockets, either Okogie or Sheppard will come off the bench, while the likes of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/e\/easonta01.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">forward Tari Eason<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/h\/holidaa01.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">guard Aaron Holiday<\/a> and center <a href=\"https:\/\/www.basketball-reference.com\/players\/c\/capelca01.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Clint Capela<\/a> round out the group. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ocregister.com\/2025\/06\/30\/lakers-add-jake-laravia-lose-dorian-finney-smith-to-rockets-as-free-agency-begins\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Former Lakers forward Dorian Finney-Smith<\/a> fell out of favor over the last two months, leading to increased playing time for Eason. Eason could be the X-Factor for the Rockets, as a double-digit scorer (10.5 ppg) who can attack the Lakers at spots where they\u2019re relatively limited, depth-wise. If things go awry, the Lakers might turn to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ocregister.com\/2026\/02\/06\/veteran-maxi-kleber-is-making-the-most-of-his-lakers-run\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">backup post Maxi Kleber<\/a> or <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ocregister.com\/2026\/04\/12\/lakers-sign-guard-nick-smith-jr-to-15th-roster-spot-for-playoffs\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">recently signed guard Nick Smith Jr., who was on a two-way contract as of last week<\/a>. But if Redick finds himself in that situation, then the Lakers are doing quite well or in the hurt locker, as the on-paper matchup appears. EDGE: ROCKETS<\/p>\n<p>COACHES<\/p>\n<p>Redick not only has led the Lakers to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ocregister.com\/2026\/04\/01\/lakers-coach-jj-redick-says-hes-got-a-lot-left-to-accomplish-after-100th-win\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">consecutive 50-win seasons<\/a>, but in 2025-26, the second-year coach has done it with Doncic, James and Reaves playing in fewer than 30 games together. With two of those pieces off the board, Redick has gotten more out of his role players such as Kennard and Smart in an attempt to MacGyver a postseason run while the Lakers try to rehab their stars in time for them to contribute. Redick has shown a knack for X\u2019s and O\u2019s. He wanted the Lakers to improve their defensive tack after the All-Star break, and they have gone from 23rd in defensive rating before the break to 14th since. All the while, the Lakers are the league\u2019s best shooting team by efficiency standards (50.2% field goal percentage). <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ocregister.com\/2026\/03\/24\/jj-redick-always-believed-his-lakers-were-a-good-basketball-team-now-theyre-playing-like-it\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Redick won\u2019t win NBA Coach of the Year, but he has earned respect around the league after taking the job without any prior coaching experience<\/a>. Udoka, on the other hand, has kept the Rockets rolling since he started as coach in 2023 after a stint in Boston. The Rockets have never had a losing record under Udoka and have back-to-back 50-win seasons for the first time since 2017-2019. Known for his defensive tenacity, Udoka ripped his team during a post-game press conference after a loss to the Chicago Bulls. A few weeks later, the Rockets got back on track and won eight straight before the end of the regular season. EDGE: LAKERS<\/p>\n<p>INTANGIBLES<\/p>\n<p>Earlier this week, Smart rightly pointed to who he has by his side when asked about the challenge posed by the fifth-seeded Rockets. Truth is, Smart and James have a wealth of playoff experience, knowledge and the physicality to go with it, combining for 27 seasons worth of playoff appearances. Even Ayton, who has not met the expectations that come with being a No. 1 draft pick, has NBA Finals experience with the Phoenix Suns in 2021. Yes, the Rockets have Durant, an all-world scorer who has a career worth of highlight moments under the bright lights. James has won four NBA titles. Durant has won two, both of which came against James when they were with Golden State and Cleveland, respectively. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ocregister.com\/2026\/03\/31\/laker-close-march-with-a-flourish-knocking-down-cavaliers-in-style\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">The Lakers built a gritty identity in March, when they went 15-2<\/a>. The Rockets ended the season on a high, but even shorthanded, the Lakers have a mindset that could be hard to budge in win-or-go-home environments. EDGE: LAKERS<\/p>\n<p>SERIES PREDICTION<\/p>\n<p>So much was going right for the Lakers just a few weeks ago. And if they can find a path to a second-round matchup with the Oklahoma City Thunder, the possible return of Doncic and Reaves could flip momentum on its head. Right now, the Lakers have no momentum, little belief from the general public and just don\u2019t have enough talent to match what the Rockets have showcased this season. I do think the Lakers could scrape together a few victories, show that they\u2019ve got the fight and that James can still be the star his team needs with their backs against the wall. But even if the Rockets are a tad bit disjointed, facing the trio of Thompson, Sengun and Durant without the star quality to match feels like too much of a challenge. If you rank the top five healthy players in this series, James is on the list, but he might be the only Laker. That alone tells the story. ROCKETS IN FIVE<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"SERIES SCHEDULE (Best-of-seven, all times are PT) Game 1 \u2013 Sat., at Lakers, 5:30 p.m., ABC (Ch. 7)&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":712532,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3794],"tags":[7,292,194,4066,300,185,6,211,66],"class_list":{"0":"post-712531","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-houston-rockets","8":"tag-basketball","9":"tag-houston","10":"tag-houston-rockets","11":"tag-houstonrockets","12":"tag-lakers","13":"tag-lebron-james","14":"tag-nba","15":"tag-rockets","16":"tag-sports"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/116420791328155104","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/712531","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=712531"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/712531\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/712532"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=712531"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=712531"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=712531"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}