{"id":713506,"date":"2026-04-18T22:40:35","date_gmt":"2026-04-18T22:40:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/713506\/"},"modified":"2026-04-18T22:40:35","modified_gmt":"2026-04-18T22:40:35","slug":"heat-will-have-13th-best-lottery-odds-ahead-of-2026-nba-draft-hot-hot-hoops","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/713506\/","title":{"rendered":"Heat will have 13th best lottery odds ahead of 2026 NBA Draft &#8211; Hot Hot Hoops"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"662\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Screenshot-2024-05-17-084240-1024x662.png\" alt=\"Heat\" class=\"wp-image-3572\"  \/>(Photo by Nathaniel S. Butler\/NBAE via Getty Images)<\/p>\n<p>The Miami Heat entered Friday with the possibility of moving up to No. 12 in odds for the 2026 NBA Draft lottery. But that open door has now been slammed shut.<\/p>\n<p>As a result of the Phoenix Suns\u2019 111-96 win over the Golden State Warriors, the Heat officially own the 13th-best lottery odds ahead of draft night \u2014 only ahead of the Charlotte Hornets, who eliminated them last week.<\/p>\n<p>What are the Miami Heat\u2019s odds of earning each pick?:<\/p>\n<p>With Miami owning the 13th-best odds, they are only eligible to land six picks ahead of the draft. Here are their odds of earning each:<\/p>\n<p>No. 14 pick: 2.3 percent<\/p>\n<p>No. 13: 92.9 percent<\/p>\n<p>No. 4: 1.4 percent<\/p>\n<p>No. 3: 1.2 percent<\/p>\n<p>No. 2: 1.1 percent<\/p>\n<p>No. 1: 1.0 percent<\/p>\n<p>As a result, Miami has just a 4.7 percent chance of earning a top-4 pick in the upcoming draft. Comparatively, if they moved up to No. 12, they would have had a 7.2 percent chance at a top-4 pick; that\u2019s a 53 percent increase just for one spot, which is fairly significant.<\/p>\n<p>The Heat have never moved up in the draft lottery in 11 previous lotteries. They have moved down six times, including multiple spots just twice (1989, 1991).<\/p>\n<p>How this draft class benefits Heat:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1013\" height=\"675\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Screenshot-2026-01-25-1.52PM-edited.jpg\" alt=\"NBA Draft Miami Heat\" class=\"wp-image-14498\"  \/>(Mandatory Credit: Jacob Musselman-Imagn Images)<\/p>\n<p>The top of the draft \u2014 spearheaded by AJ Dybantsa, Darryn Peterson and Cameron Boozer \u2014 is loaded. But this class has a surplus of quality guards and wings, which the Heat needs.<\/p>\n<p>Miami\u2019s biggest need exists in the frontcourt, but they are at least one wing short. They also need more positional size and two-way versatility in the backcourt, which doesn\u2019t exist outside of Kasparas Jakucionis and Pelle Larsson. Norman Powell and Tyler Herro are one-way scoring specialists, while Davion Mitchell and Dru Smith are undersized.<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019re not in the Heat\u2019s war room, so who they may be targeting may be different than what I or others may think. Though what we can all agree on is that they need talent \u2014 regardless of the position \u2014 and they will have two bites at the apple to infuse more youth into their good-not-great core.<\/p>\n<p>The 2026 draft lottery will be on May 13.<\/p>\n<p>***<\/p>\n<p>To check out our other content, click\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/hothothoops.com\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Follow Hot Hot Hoops on Twitter\/X\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/hothothoops?s=20\" rel=\"nofollow\">here<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>Follow Hot Hot Hoops on Instagram\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/hothothoops?fbclid=PAAaZK-uxa3cMPUQcM2z6aGmK3faJ-G1R7YKtEOcPJNPO4VwfOvw1epBIoCyk_aem_Ad_aZ7zQwWkfVN5rHfd0UkIWrYEnU4j4Ulz0SRK__Qt1738L-NeQ3cZC5voFks7V6K8\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>Check out Hot Hot Hoops on Facebook\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/share\/1GUQbKhsRp\/?mibextid=wwXIfr\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">here<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>Subscribe to our YouTube channel\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/hothothoops\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">here<\/a>!<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t<script async src=\"\/\/www.instagram.com\/embed.js\"><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"(Photo by Nathaniel S. Butler\/NBAE via Getty Images) The Miami Heat entered Friday with the possibility of moving&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":558523,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[88844,25086,88937,7,144,3932,3948,189,3935,3953,6,12,249],"class_list":{"0":"post-713506","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-nba-draft","8":"tag-2026-miami-heat-offseason","9":"tag-2026-nba-draft","10":"tag-2026-nba-draft-lottery","11":"tag-basketball","12":"tag-heat","13":"tag-heat-analysis","14":"tag-heat-news","15":"tag-miami-heat","16":"tag-miami-heat-analysis","17":"tag-miami-heat-news","18":"tag-nba","19":"tag-nba-draft","20":"tag-nba-draft-lottery"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/116428122994786609","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/713506","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=713506"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/713506\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/558523"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=713506"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=713506"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=713506"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}