{"id":714614,"date":"2026-04-20T14:10:51","date_gmt":"2026-04-20T14:10:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/714614\/"},"modified":"2026-04-20T14:10:51","modified_gmt":"2026-04-20T14:10:51","slug":"timberwolves-vs-nuggets-prediction-odds-best-bets-team-props","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/714614\/","title":{"rendered":"Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets &#038; Team Props"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Nuggets are -6.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves<\/p>\n<p>Total (Over\/Under): 231.5 points<\/p>\n<p>Watch the game on NBC | PEAC<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Timberwolves visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:30 pm in Denver, CO.<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves vs Nuggets Over\/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.<\/p>\n<p>So far this NBA season, the Timberwolves are 37-46 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 45-38 against the spread.<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" target=\"_blank\">Bet now on Nuggets vs Timberwolves and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds, Over\/Under &amp; Moneyline <\/p>\n<p>SpreadOver \/ UnderMoneylineMinnesota Timberwolves+6.5 -110O 231.5 -110+220Denver Nuggets -6.5 -110U 231.5 -110-275<\/p>\n<p>Nuggets vs Timberwolves Prediction for Tonight\u2019s Game:<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-black-color has-text-color\">The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Monday\u2018s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Timberwolves and Nuggets.<\/p>\n<p>Nuggets vs Timberwolves Spread Prediction:<\/p>\n<p>Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Monday\u2018s game with 57.3% confidence.<\/p>\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\">Bet now on Nuggets vs Timberwolves and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 away games (+10.43 Units \/ 20% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 21 away games (+10.30 Units \/ 43% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.65 Units \/ 28% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+9.50 Units \/ 36% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 away games (+9.35 Units \/ 26% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:<\/p>\n<p>The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games (+15.90 Units \/ 8% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.85 Units \/ 70% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.80 Units \/ 25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.35 Units \/ 42% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games (+7.90 Units \/ 11% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 37-46 (-13.65 Units \/ -14.94% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>49-34 against the Moneyline (-14 Units \/ -5.9% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>38-45 against the Over for game total points (-11.5 Units \/ -12.6% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>45-38 against the Under for game total points (+3.2 Units \/ 3.5% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:<\/p>\n<p>Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 45-38 (+3.2 Units \/ 3.5% ROI).<\/p>\n<p>55-28 against the Moneyline (+10.5 Units \/ 3.55% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>52-31 against the Over for game total points (+17.93 Units \/ 19.65% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>31-52 against the Under for game total points (-26.2 Units \/ -28.68% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:<\/p>\n<p>The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games (-30.15 Units \/ -25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 games at home (-15.51 Units \/ -20% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.25 Units \/ -25% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 45 games (-13.80 Units \/ -28% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 35 games at home (-13.60 Units \/ -23% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 15 of their last 40 games (-19.66 Units \/ -29% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 45 games (-18.35 Units \/ -27% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 45 away games (-17.05 Units \/ -33% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 23 away games (-13.50 Units \/ -51% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 40 games (-12.75 Units \/ -28% ROI)<\/p>\n<p>Jump to:<\/p>\n<p>Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves are 28-4 (.875) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season \u2014 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .788<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves are 27-11 (.711) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season \u2014 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves are 75-35 (.682) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .578<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves are 74-25 (.747) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .696<\/p>\n<p>Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets are 38-7 (.844) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: .618<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets are undefeated (5-0) when their opponents turns the ball over 20 or more times since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .638<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets are 15-2 (.882) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: .624<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets are 33-13 (.717) when winning the rebounding margin this season \u2014 tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659<\/p>\n<p>Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves are shooting 75% from the free throw line (1,558\/2,072)  this season \u2014 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves have averaged 121.2 points per game (4,970 points\/41 games) on the road this season \u2014 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves have averaged 1.33 points per shot (9,676 points\/7,260 shots)  this season \u2014 tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves are shooting 48% (3,495\/7,260)  this season \u2014 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%<\/p>\n<p>Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets are shooting 40% from three (1,161\/2,934)  this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets are shooting 41% from three (565\/1,393) in the second half this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets have an eFG% of 58%  this season \u2014 best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets have averaged 1.39 points per shot (10,010 points\/7,196 shots)  this season \u2014 tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30<\/p>\n<p>Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (476 blocks\/82 games)  this season \u2014 tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (1,378 blocks\/246 games)  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves have averaged 35.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,900 rebounds\/82 games)  this season \u2014 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8<\/p>\n<p>The Timberwolves have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (8,787 rebounds\/246 games)  since the start of the 2023-24 season \u2014 tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1<\/p>\n<p>Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats &amp; Trends<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets have averaged 6.8 steals per game (560 steals\/82 games)  this season \u2014 lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets have forced 11.8 turnovers per game (966 turnovers\/82 games)  this season \u2014 lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.5<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (6,070 rebounds\/164 games)  since the start of the 2024-25 season \u2014 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1<\/p>\n<p>The Nuggets have forced 11.9 turnovers per game (486 turnovers\/41 games) on the road this season \u2014 lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.4<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/promo.nj.betmgm.com\/en\/promo\/geolocator?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" target=\"_blank\">Bet now on Nuggets vs Timberwolves and all NBA games with BetMGM<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM<\/p>\n<p>At <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM<\/a>, you can <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">bet online<\/a> with updated <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/basketball-7\/betting\/usa-9\/nba-6004?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NBA betting odds<\/a>. And with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betmgm.com\/en\/sports\/live\/betting?pid=direct&amp;af_sub1=7071077&amp;wm=7071077&amp;tdpeh=BetMGM&amp;utm_source=seo&amp;utm_medium=content&amp;utm_campaign=jarvis\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">live sports betting<\/a>, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the <a href=\"https:\/\/apps.apple.com\/us\/app\/betmgm-sportsbook\/id1430875409\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">BetMGM Sportsbook app<\/a>) experiences are at BetMGM.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Nuggets are -6.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves Total (Over\/Under): 231.5 points Watch the game on NBC |&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":495386,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3781],"tags":[7,301,187,3943,6,302],"class_list":{"0":"post-714614","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-denver-nuggets","8":"tag-basketball","9":"tag-denver","10":"tag-denver-nuggets","11":"tag-denvernuggets","12":"tag-nba","13":"tag-nuggets"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/116437443980224846","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/714614","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=714614"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/714614\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/495386"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=714614"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=714614"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=714614"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}