{"id":716788,"date":"2026-04-23T21:43:49","date_gmt":"2026-04-23T21:43:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/716788\/"},"modified":"2026-04-23T21:43:49","modified_gmt":"2026-04-23T21:43:49","slug":"knicks-vs-hawks-win-probability-for-game-3-at-prediction-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/716788\/","title":{"rendered":"Knicks vs Hawks Win Probability for Game 3 at Prediction Markets"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Kyle<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Kyle LaRusic<\/a>
\n \u2022 Betting Analyst<\/p>\n

5+ years betting experience<\/p>\n

\n Updated:
\nApr 23, 2026 , 10:04 AM ET<\/p>\n

\u2022 4 min read<\/p>\n

Prediction markets like Kalshi are siding with the New York Knicks as slight road favorites, and our Knicks vs. Hawks predictions couldn’t agree more.<\/p>\n

Photo By – Reuters Connect. Jalen Brunson (11) controls the ball against the Atlanta Hawks.<\/p>\n

The New York Knicks and Atlanta Hawks head to Georgia to continue their first-round series, all knotted up at one game apiece.<\/p>\n

Our Knicks vs. Hawks predictions<\/a> and free NBA picks<\/a> expect the visitors to take back the series lead on April 23.<\/p>\n

Who will win Knicks vs Hawks Game 3?<\/p>\n

Knicks win probability: 52% (-108)<\/a>
Hawks win probability: 49% (+104)<\/a><\/p>\n

Despite being the home team, the Atlanta Hawks are slight underdogs at 49\u00a2, while the Knicks have a 52% chance of stealing a game on the road.<\/p>\n

Our prediction: Knicks to win<\/a><\/p>\n

New York let Game 2 get away with turnovers and missed free throws, sparking Atlanta\u2019s rally from 12 points down entering the fourth quarter. The Knicks can\u2019t give the Hawks hope. They\u2019ve done a good job checking Atlanta\u2019s top scorers and will clean up their mess in Game 3.<\/p>\n

Read more in Jason Logan’s full Knicks vs. Hawks predictions<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Start trading with Kalshi today!<\/p>\n

Sign up now using our exclusive Kalshi promo code<\/a> ‘COVERS’ and get a $10 trading bonus after you trade $10 on any other event contracts \u2014 including Knicks\/Hawks!<\/p>\n

*Eligible to ALL states + DC, (excluding Nevada)<\/p>\n

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account \"Add<\/a>More Knicks vs Hawks prediction markets<\/p>\n

You’re certainly not limited to the main game outcome for Knicks vs. Hawks\u00a0at Kalshi; you also have options to trade on the spread, total, and more, among other NBA odds<\/a> markets.<\/p>\n

You can buy either side of a market \u2014 for example, “Yes” on the Knicks -1.5 spread means the Knicks will cover, while “No” means the Hawks will cover \u2014 with each side priced based on the implied probability (which can be converted to American, Decimal, or Fraction odds using the\u00a0Covers odds converter<\/a>).<\/p>\n

Knicks vs Hawks spread and total at prediction markets<\/p>\n

Our predictions: Knicks -1.5 \u2014 Yes and Over 216.5 points \u2014 No<\/a><\/p>\n

The Knicks will cut down on their mistakes in Game 3 and win by at least a bucket. Both games have gone Under tonight’s total, and both teams will do enough on D to stay Under 216.5 points.<\/p>\n

Other Knicks vs Hawks prediction markets available<\/p>\n

What is Kalshi and how does it work?<\/p>\n

Kalshi is a federally regulated U.S. exchange where you trade directly on the outcome of real-world future events. Instead of traditional bets, you trade “Event Contracts” which are simple Yes\/No questions like “Will the Hawks win tonight?” These events are priced between $0.01 and $0.99, and the prices reflect the market\u2019s estimated probability of that event occurring. For instance, $0.55 equals a 55% chance. If your prediction is correct, the contract pays out exactly $1.00; if not, it settles at $0. Kalshi is essentially a stock market for reality.<\/p>\n

How does Kalshi differ from sportsbooks?<\/p>\n

In a sportsbook, you bet against the bookmaker, who sets fixed odds and takes a “vig,” which is a kind of commission. On Kalshi, you trade against other users. This peer-to-peer model means prices are driven by supply and demand, often resulting in fairer odds. Additionally, because these are financial derivatives, you can exit your position early. If your team takes a 14-point lead, the contract price will rise, allowing you to sell your “Yes” shares for a profit before the final whistle even blows.<\/p>\n

Why should I wager on Knicks vs Hawks at Kalshi?<\/p>\n

Kalshi offers four unique advantages over traditional sportsbooks:<\/p>\n

Flexibility: Unlike a “locked-in” bet, you can sell your contract at any time.
\nTransparency: You trade against other users, which can allow you to find better value.
\nFederal regulation: As a CFTC-regulated exchange, your funds are held in a secure, transparent environment.
\nAvailability: Kalshi is available in 49 states (excluding Nevada) and D.C., including many regions where traditional sportsbooks aren’t yet legal.<\/p>\n

Pages related to this topic<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Kyle LaRusic \u2022 Betting Analyst 5+ years betting experience Updated: Apr 23, 2026 , 10:04 AM ET \u2022…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":716789,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3768],"tags":[7,304,6,1136,191,3810,3806],"class_list":{"0":"post-716788","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-new-york-knicks","8":"tag-basketball","9":"tag-knicks","10":"tag-nba","11":"tag-new-york","12":"tag-new-york-knicks","13":"tag-newyork","14":"tag-newyorkknicks"},"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/116456212327484110","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/716788","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=716788"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/716788\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/716789"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=716788"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=716788"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=716788"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}