{"id":788868,"date":"2026-07-17T11:00:58","date_gmt":"2026-07-17T11:00:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/788868\/"},"modified":"2026-07-17T11:00:58","modified_gmt":"2026-07-17T11:00:58","slug":"utah-jazzs-early-win-loss-projections-dont-do-them-justice","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/788868\/","title":{"rendered":"Utah Jazz&#8217;s Early Win-Loss Projections Don&#8217;t Do Them Justice"},"content":{"rendered":"<p id=\"inline-text-0\" class=\"mt-[18px] md:mt-0 mb-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"6x\">The Utah Jazz are slated to look a whole lot better for the 2026-27 season than they have been in recent years.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-1\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"70\">They&#8217;ll be gunning for wins instead of the best lottery odds, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/nba\/jazz\/onsi\/utah-jazz-s-updated-depth-chart-after-hayes-okogie-bamba-signings\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">have a nice core of veteran and young talent to do so<\/a>, and at the very least, should be one of the ten teams to qualify for the postseason in the Western Conference\u2013\u2013whether that be in the play-in or potentially even a top-six seed.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-2\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"73\">However, when looking at some early win-loss projections from Vegas surrounding how the Jazz&#8217;s coming season could go, those odds seem to be underselling just how improved this roster is going to be.<\/p>\n<p>How the Jazz&#8217;s Win-Loss Projections Currently Stack Up<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-4\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"79\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/betting\/sportsbook-promos\/draftkings-promo-code\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">According to DraftKings Sportsbook<\/a>, the Jazz have a win projection sitting at 36.5 wins\u2013\u2013 which is certainly a step forward from the number they&#8217;ve been at for the past several seasons, at the very least.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-5\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7c\">However, that number, even while improved, still sits within the bottom third of the NBA when it comes to projected wins. They&#8217;re tied with the same projections as one other team, the Washington Wizards, but have just five teams in the Western Conference sitting below them.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-6\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7f\">So if those projections hold true, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/nba\/jazz\/onsi\/how-nba-free-agency-changed-the-utah-jazz-s-playoff-outlook\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">the Jazz will be right on the edge between being a play-in team and a lottery team<\/a>. The next closest team in terms of win projections in the Western Conference is the Phoenix Suns, who sit a good distance away from Utah at 40.5 wins.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/01kxpn62tk4ekphasz53.jpg\" alt=\"Mar 28, 2026; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Phoenix Suns guard Devin Booker (1) moves the ball against Utah Jazz forward Kyle Filipo\" title=\"Mar 28, 2026; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Phoenix Suns guard Devin Booker (1) moves the ball against Utah Jazz forward Kyle Filipo\" width=\"360\" height=\"203\" class=\"undefined w-full w-full blur-[5px]\" q:id=\"7p\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Mar 28, 2026; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Phoenix Suns guard Devin Booker (1) moves the ball against Utah Jazz forward Kyle Filipowski (22) in the second half at Mortgage Matchup Center. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-8\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7t\">With those numbers in mind, Vegas odds seem to expect the West to be pretty solid. And that&#8217;s pretty fair to assume. If the Jazz are going to creep any higher than their mark of 36.5 wins, they&#8217;ll have to really show out compared to their surrounding competition of deep rosters and a good share of star power.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-9\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"7w\">But really, when comparing this Jazz group to the rest of the field, there&#8217;s not a whole lot of reason to believe that they can&#8217;t match up well enough to exceed their current expectations\u2013\u2013especially if their young talent around the roster can get ahead of schedule in terms of their development.<\/p>\n<p>Why You Should Believe in the Jazz More Than Vegas Does<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-11\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"82\">The Jazz are still a few steps away from becoming a true contender out West. They&#8217;re young, need to improve on the defensive side of the ball, and really haven&#8217;t had a ton of on-court chemistry when fully healthy. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/nba\/jazz\/onsi\/news\/utah-jazz-lose-jaren-jackson-jr-shocking-season-ending-injury\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Jaren Jackson hasn&#8217;t even played five games with Utah<\/a> since being traded here.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-12\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"85\">But even as they&#8217;re not quite up to the level of being a contender, the Jazz are young and deep; two things that work really well throughout a long regular season.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-13\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"88\">While veteran, top-heavy teams can break down easier over the course of 82 games, teams like Utah who are both talented and deep enough to sustain an injury or two can hold up better, and tack on a few extra wins in the process, especially if they don&#8217;t have reason to tank.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-14\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8b\">The Jazz are going to have a really solid starting five and a respectable bench as well. Just by looking at the first five names on the floor, they&#8217;re going to have two All-Stars in Lauri Markkanen and Jaren Jackson Jr., a rising star in Keyonte George, and Ace Bailey or Darryn Peterson; two young studs who can contribute to wins quicker than many may expect.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/01kxpnjavq2bxrhc316j.jpg\" alt=\"Jan 28, 2026; Salt Lake City, Utah, USA; Utah Jazz forward Lauri Markkanen (23) reacts after a play against the Golden State \" title=\"Jan 28, 2026; Salt Lake City, Utah, USA; Utah Jazz forward Lauri Markkanen (23) reacts after a play against the Golden State \" width=\"360\" height=\"203\" class=\"undefined w-full w-full blur-[5px]\" q:id=\"8l\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Jan 28, 2026; Salt Lake City, Utah, USA; Utah Jazz forward Lauri Markkanen (23) reacts after a play against the Golden State Warriors during the second half at Delta Center. Mandatory Credit: Rob Gray-Imagn Images | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-16\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8p\">Teams like the Suns and the Golden State Warriors, who are projected with more wins than the Jazz, don&#8217;t have that type of depth and youth on their roster. They have the star power with names like Devin Booker and Stephen Curry, but any time missed for either cripples their game plan on a nightly basis that they&#8217;re out.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-17\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8s\">If the Jazz&#8217;s development can continue to trend in the right direction, and their defense can improve just marginally from their league-worst finishes from the past few seasons, coming out to 40 wins isn&#8217;t unreasonable to expect.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-18\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8v\">They have the high-level offense, the star talent, depth in the second unit, the coaching staff, and the added incentive to prioritize wins without ownership of their first-round pick that inspires that belief.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-19\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"8y\">So while many may assume that the Jazz are still one or two years away from posting a record above .500, make no mistake: they&#8217;re here now, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.si.com\/nba\/jazz\/onsi\/keyonte-george-thinks-utah-jazz-will-shock-the-world-next-season\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">they&#8217;re ready to make some waves in the standings next season<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-20\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"91\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/JazzOnSI?s=20\" rel=\"nofollow\">Be sure to follow Utah Jazz On SI on X to stay up to date with daily Utah Jazz news, rumors and analysis!<\/a><\/p>\n<p id=\"inline-text-21\" class=\"my-[18px] [&amp;_a]:text-secondary my-f-1.5\" q:key=\"0\" q:id=\"94\">Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. <\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"22\" height=\"22\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.minutemediacdn.com\/platform\/google_discover_icon.svg\" class=\"shrink-0\"\/>Add us as a preferred source on Google<a aria-label=\"Follow si.com on Google News\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=si.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\" class=\"flex h-[30px] w-[30px] shrink-0 items-center justify-center rounded-full bg-primary font-group-large text-sm font-medium text-white transition-colors hover:bg-secondary focus:bg-secondary md:w-auto md:gap-2.5 md:px-4 md:py-[5px]\">Follow<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The Utah Jazz are slated to look a whole lot better for the 2026-27 season than they have&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":788869,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3785],"tags":[7,423,6,422,427,3972],"class_list":["post-788868","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-utah-jazz","tag-basketball","tag-jazz","tag-nba","tag-utah","tag-utah-jazz","tag-utahjazz"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/channels.im\/@nba\/116934979878803278","error":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/788868","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=788868"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/788868\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/788869"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=788868"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=788868"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rawchili.com\/nba\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=788868"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}