Todays Matchup Details
Week 2 Cleveland Browns at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 20th
20/09/26 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Cleveland Browns Game Today
An extreme running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a huge 8.5-point favorite in this game.
,The predictive model expects the Buccaneers as the 3rd-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 49.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
,The Buccaneers have called the 9th-most plays in football last year, totaling a colossal 58.9 plays per game.
,At the moment, the 9th-most run-focused offense in the NFL (41.0% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Cleveland Browns.
,The Tampa Bay defensive tackles grade out as the 3rd-worst unit in football last year when it comes to stopping the run.
,The Buccaneers defense has allowed the 8th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (56.0) vs. TEs last year.
,The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has struggled when opposing TEs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch last year: the most in the league.
,The Buccaneers safeties project as the 3rd-worst group of safeties in football last year in defending receivers.
,Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 7th-most adjusted yards in the league (232.0 per game) vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense last year.
,Last year, the porous Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been gouged for the most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing squads: a monstrous 0.00 YAC.
,As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Tampa Bay’s unit has been awful last year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in football.
,The Cleveland Browns pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, giving up an average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch last year: the most in the league.
,Cade Otton has run a route on 87.0% of his team’s dropbacks last year, placing him in the 97th percentile among TEs.
,The model projects Cade Otton to notch 3.7 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 75th percentile among tight ends.
,When it comes to air yards, Cade Otton ranks in the lofty 77th percentile among TEs last year, accumulating a striking 24.0 per game.
,Cade Otton ranks as one of the leading pass-catching tight ends last year, averaging a stellar 32.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 79th percentile.
,Last year, the feeble Buccaneers defense has given up the most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing WRs: a whopping 0.00 YAC.
,Last year, the shaky Cleveland Browns defense has conceded the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing teams: a massive 0.00 YAC.
Negatives with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers Game Today
Based on the game dynamics and approaches of each team, the projections expect this game (with an average of 26.95 seconds per play) will play at the 11th-worst tempo on the slate this week.
,As it relates to the defensive tackles’ role in defending against the run, Cleveland’s group of DTs has been phenomenal last year, profiling as the 8th-best in the league.
,This week’s spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Browns, who are huge -8.5-point underdogs.
,Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the model to run just 62.5 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-lowest number among all teams this week.
,Opposing squads have run for the 6th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 99.0 per game) vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense last year.
,At the moment, the 9th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (59.0% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Browns.
,The Cleveland offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in football last year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
,In this week’s contest, Deshaun Watson is projected by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 11th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 32.8.,The model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 3rd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 50.5% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
,Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Browns, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 28.6 per game) last year.
,Last year, the formidable Cleveland Browns defense has conceded a puny 111.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers: the 3rd-best in the league.
,Cade Otton comes in as one of the bottom TEs in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while ranking in the 2nd percentile.
,The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has surrendered the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (61.7%) to wideouts last year (61.7%).
,The projections expect Baker Mayfield to throw 30.1 passes in this game, on balance: the 2nd-fewest among all QBs.
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