Todays Matchup Details
Week 2 Green Bay Packers at New York Jets
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 20th
20/09/26 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Green Bay Packers Game Today
Right now, the 5th-most run-focused offense in football (41.4% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Jets.
,This week, Breece Hall is predicted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs with 13.3 rush attempts.
,Among all RBs, Breece Hall ranks in the 89th percentile for carries last year, accounting for 58.6% of the workload in his offense’s run game.
,Breece Hall has grinded out 53.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground last year, one of the biggest figures in football when it comes to running backs (88th percentile).
,Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense last year: 10th-most in the NFL.
,The Green Bay Packers defense has been particularly weak when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year: the most in the league.
,This week’s spread implies a rushing game script for the Packers, who are favored by 3.5 points.
,The projections expect the Packers to be the 8th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 45.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
,Opposing squads have rushed for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in the league (144 per game) vs. the Jets defense last year.
,When it comes to the defensive tackles’ role in stopping the run, New York’s group of DTs has been lousy last year, projecting as the 8th-worst in football. in football.
,Jordan Love profiles as one of the leading quarterbacks in football last year, averaging a fantastic 208.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 80th percentile.
,The New York Jets pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency last year, giving up 8.32 adjusted yards-per-target: the 6th-most in football.
,The Jets defense has not been good when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year: the most in the NFL.
,When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, New York’s group of CBs has been awful last year, projecting as the 8th-worst in the NFL.
Negatives with the New York Jets Game Today
At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are underdogs in this week’s contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical game plan.
,The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 122.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
,The projections expect the Jets to be the 5th-least pass-focused offense in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.6% pass rate.
,In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Jets profiles as the 9th-worst in the league last year.
,The Green Bay Packers pass defense has shown strong efficiency last year, giving up 7.07 adjusted yards-per-target: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.
,Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the projection model to run only 59.5 total plays in this game: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.
,The Packers have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league last year, averaging a lowly 54.9 plays per game.
,Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Green Bay Packers to pass on 54.9% of their chances: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
,The model projects Jordan Love to attempt 31.5 passes in this week’s contest, on balance: the 6th-fewest out of all QBs.
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