Todays Matchup Details

Week 2 Detroit Lions at Buffalo Bills
Todays Game is on Thursday, September 17th
17/09/26 20:15:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Detroit Lions Game Today

The Bills have played in the most “bad weather” (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league last year, which should mean higher pass volume, lower running volume, and improved offense results when facing more favorable conditions in this week’s contest.

,In this contest, Dalton Kincaid is predicted by the predictive model to slot into the 86th percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.3 targets.

,When talking about air yards, Dalton Kincaid grades out in the towering 88th percentile among TEs last year, totaling a remarkable 39.0 per game.

,Dalton Kincaid’s 35.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) ranks among the league leaders: 84th percentile for TEs.

,As it relates to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 5th-best in the league last year.

,Josh Allen checks in as one of the best passers in the league last year, averaging an excellent 212.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 85th percentile.

,With an outstanding 71.2% Adjusted Completion% (97th percentile) last year, Josh Allen ranks among the most on-target passers in the NFL.

,Josh Allen is positioned as one of the best per-play quarterbacks in the league last year, averaging an excellent 8.30 adjusted yards-per-target while grading out in the 97th percentile.

,In this week’s game, DJ Moore is projected by the projection model to place in the 85th percentile among wide receivers with 6.7 targets.

,While DJ Moore has received 15.4% of his offense’s targets in games he has played last year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in Buffalo’s passing attack in this game at 21.5%.

,The Detroit Lions pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, conceding an average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch last year: the most in the league.

,This game’s line implies a throwing game script for the Lions, who are -4.5-point underdogs.

,Opposing squads have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NFL (adjusted for context) against the Detroit Lions defense last year, averaging 28.48 seconds per play.

,With a top-tier 81.7% Route Participation% (94th percentile) last year, Sam LaPorta has been among the tight ends with the most usage in the NFL.

,The leading projections forecast Sam LaPorta to total 5.9 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile when it comes to tight ends.

,Sam LaPorta has compiled a colossal 28.0 air yards per game last year: 81st percentile when it comes to tight ends.

,Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Buffalo Bills to run on 46.3% of their plays: the 6th-highest frequency among all teams this week.

,The projections expect James Cook to accumulate 17.1 carries in this week’s game, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile among RBs.

,James Cook has earned 63.5% of his team’s rush attempts last year, putting him in the 95th percentile among RBs.

,James Cook has picked up 82.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground last year, one of the highest marks in the NFL when it comes to RBs (99th percentile).

,Our trusted projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to total 20.5 rush attempts in this week’s game, on balance, putting him in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs.

,While Jahmyr Gibbs has received 59.1% of his team’s rushing play calls in games he has played last year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in Detroit’s run game in this week’s contest at 77.4%.

,With a remarkable tally of 65.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (94th percentile), Jahmyr Gibbs stands among the top RBs in the NFL last year.

,Last year, the daunting Bills run defense has conceded a puny 5.20 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition’s ground game: the 30th-best rate in the league.

,The model projects Jared Goff to attempt 35.5 passes this week, on average: the 8th-most among all quarterbacks.

,Jared Goff is positioned as one of the top quarterbacks in football last year, averaging a terrific 237.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 92nd percentile.

,With an outstanding 66.9% Adjusted Completion% (75th percentile) last year, Jared Goff ranks as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in football.

,The projections expect Amon-Ra St. Brown to total 10.8 targets in this week’s game, on balance, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

,With an impressive 32.9% Target Rate (99th percentile) last year, Amon-Ra St. Brown stands among the WRs with the highest volume in the league.

,In regards to air yards, Amon-Ra St. Brown ranks in the towering 89th percentile among wide receivers last year, averaging a whopping 85.0 per game.

Negatives with the Buffalo Bills Game Today

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week’s game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal game plan.

,Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 53.7% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

,The predictive model expects the Bills offense to be the 5th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 29.38 seconds per snap.

,Dalton Kincaid checks in as one of the bottom tight ends in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while checking in at the 2nd percentile.

,Last year, the strong Lions defense has allowed a meager 68.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 2nd-smallest rate in football.

,The leading projections forecast Josh Allen to throw 32.6 passes in this contest, on average: the 8th-fewest out of all QBs.

,Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-lowest clip in the NFL vs. the Lions defense last year (66.4% Adjusted Completion%).

,DJ Moore profiles as one of the bottom wide receivers in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while checking in at the 1st percentile.

,Last year, the fierce Detroit Lions defense has conceded a paltry 62.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 7th-smallest rate in the league.

,Opposing teams teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Bills, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (just 28.3 per game) last year.

,When talking about protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Lions ranks as the 8th-worst in football last year.

,With a subpar 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) last year, Sam LaPorta places as one of the top pass-game tight ends in the NFL in the open field.

,The Buffalo Bills defense has surrendered the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 33.0) versus TEs last year.

,Last year, the strong Bills defense has surrendered a paltry 66.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the lowest rate in the NFL.

,The Buffalo Bills defensive tackles grade out as the 4th-best DT corps in the NFL last year when it comes to stopping the run.

,Last year, the fierce Bills defense has yielded a mere 171.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing QBs: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

,When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Buffalo’s unit has been fantastic last year, ranking as the 4th-best in football.

,Amon-Ra St. Brown grades out as one of the weakest wideouts in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while ranking in the 1st percentile.

,Last year, the tough Bills defense has allowed a feeble 115.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing WRs: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.

Latest Buffalo Bills Matches

Latest Detroit Lions Matches