Todays Matchup Details

Week 3 Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers
Todays Game is on Thursday, September 24th
24/09/26 20:15:00 PM EST Kickoff

Positives for the Atlanta Falcons Game Today

The Falcons may take to the air less in this contest (and call more carries) since they be rolling out backup quarterback Cooper Rush.

,A throwing game script is implied by the Falcons being a -6.5-point underdog this week.

,Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Falcons are expected by our trusted projection set to call 66.1 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.

,Opposing teams have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Packers defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the NFL.

,Kyle Pitts is positioned as one of the top pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 41.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 91st percentile.

,With a 6.5-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this game, indicating more of a reliance on running than their usual approach.

,Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to have 129.3 offensive plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

,With a remarkable 62.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (94th percentile) since the start of last season, Drake London rates as one of the best wide receivers in the league in the league.

,At the present time, the 8th-most pass-oriented offense in football (62.2% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Packers.

,In totaling a whopping 29.9 pass attempts per game since the start of last season, Jordan Love slots in among the top quarterbacks in football (80th percentile) for this stat.

,With an excellent tally of 214.0 adjusted passing yards per game (85th percentile), Jordan Love rates as one of the top QBs in the league since the start of last season.

,Since the start of last season, the shaky Atlanta Falcons defense has been gouged for the 6th-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing offenses: a staggering 0.54 YAC.

,Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Atlanta Falcons to run on 46.5% of their downs: the 8th-highest clip among all teams this week.

,In this game, Bijan Robinson is predicted by the model to rank in the 96th percentile among RBs with 19.4 rush attempts.

,Out of all running backs, Bijan Robinson grades out in the 93rd percentile for carries this year, accounting for 65.5% of the workload in his team’s rushing attack.

,With an exceptional 75.9% Route Participation% (92nd percentile) since the start of last season, Tucker Kraft stands as one of the TEs with the most usage in the league.

,The predictive model expects Tucker Kraft to accumulate 5.4 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 85th percentile when it comes to TEs.

,In regards to air yards, Tucker Kraft grades out in the towering 82nd percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, accruing a monstrous 29.0 per game.

,Our trusted projections expect Christian Watson to accrue 7.2 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 87th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

,Christian Watson has accrued a colossal 101.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile among wide receivers.

,Christian Watson’s 57.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 86th percentile for WRs.

Negatives with the Green Bay Packers Game Today

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 53.5% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

,The Falcons have played in the 3rd-most “low wind” (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier weather in this week’s contest.

,The Green Bay Packers defense has allowed the 6th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 41.0) to TEs since the start of last season.

,Since the start of last season, the formidable Green Bay Packers defense has allowed the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing TEs: a meager 6.2 yards.

,The Packers safeties project as the 7th-best safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

,The projections expect the Packers to be the 8th-least run-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 37.8% run rate.

,The Packers have run the 9th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 54.9 plays per game.

,Jordan Love’s passing precision has diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 67.1% to 53.5%.

,Since the start of last season, the strong Atlanta Falcons defense has yielded a feeble 67.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 8th-lowest rate in the league.

,Bijan Robinson’s running efficiency has diminished this season, averaging a mere 3.61 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.76 figure last season.

,Since the start of last season, the porous Green Bay Packers run defense has allowed a staggering 4.04 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing squads: the 27th-largest rate in the league.

,The Packers safeties profile as the 5th-best safety corps in football since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

,Tucker Kraft’s 52.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this year marks a meaningful diminishment in his receiving talent over last year’s 80.4% rate.

,Tucker Kraft’s pass-catching efficiency has diminished this year, compiling a measly 8.10 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 11.41 figure last year.

,Since the start of last season, the strong Falcons defense has surrendered a mere 43.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the 9th-fewest in the league.

,Christian Watson’s receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 64.5% to 58.7%.

,Christian Watson’s pass-catching effectiveness has declined this year, notching just 9.00 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 10.73 figure last year.

,Since the start of last season, the daunting Falcons defense has conceded a feeble 62.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 8th-lowest rate in football.

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