Todays Matchup Details
Week 10 Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts
Todays Game is on Sunday, November 15th
15/11/26 13:00:00 PM EST Kickoff
Positives for the Miami Dolphins Game Today
The Dolphins may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Kyle McCord.
,The Dolphins are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, which points towards a passing game script.
,This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
,The projections expect Greg Dulcich to accumulate 4.7 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 80th percentile among tight ends.
,Greg Dulcich has posted far more air yards this season (25.0 per game) than he did last season (17.0 per game).
,The 9th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 59.9 per game on average).
,This year, the porous Dolphins pass defense has surrendered a monstrous 87.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the worst rate in the NFL.
,The Miami Dolphins pass defense has displayed weak efficiency vs. tight ends this year, surrendering 9.11 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-most in the NFL.
,The Miami Dolphins safeties rank as the 3rd-worst safety corps in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.
,The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency against wide receivers this year, allowing 9.43 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-most in football.
,The Colts pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.27 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-most in the NFL.
,While Laquon Treadwell has garnered 10.8% of his team’s targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of Indianapolis’s passing attack in this game at 17.0%.
,After accumulating 0.0 air yards per game last year, Laquon Treadwell has gotten better this year, now boasting 44.0 per game.
,The Dolphins pass defense has allowed the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (74.5%) vs. wide receivers this year (74.5%).
Negatives with the Indianapolis Colts Game Today
The model projects the Dolphins as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
,The predictive model expects the Dolphins to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 60.2 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
,The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 52.6 plays per game.
,Opposing QBs have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: fewest in football.
,Greg Dulcich’s 77.0% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a substantial decrease in his pass-catching ability over last season’s 82.4% mark.
,This week’s line implies a rushing game script for the Colts, who are favored by 3.5 points.
,With a 59.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-least pass-centric offense in the league has been the Indianapolis Colts.
,The projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 121.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
,Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.
,The Colts offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
,The Dolphins O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all pass attack stats across the board.
,With a poor 57.8% Adjusted Completion Rate (22nd percentile) this year, Laquon Treadwell places among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL among wideouts.
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