Houston Texans (AFC’s No. 4 seed) @ Kansas City Chiefs (No. 1 seed)
Saturday, 4:30 p.m., ESPN/ABC
If the Texans upset the two-time defending champion Chiefs, that would mean the winner of Ravens-Bills will host the AFC Championship game.
A Texans win won’t be easy, though. The Chiefs are 15-1 this season when Patrick Mahomes plays, including a 27-19 win over Houston in Week 16. Mahomes and some key Chiefs starters haven’t played since Christmas Day. Will they be fresh or rusty?
If the Texans and Ravens win, Baltimore will host the AFC title game for the second consecutive year. The Ravens dominated the Texans on the road in Week 17, winning 31-2, and Baltimore’s defense has kept Houston’s offense out of the end zone across three games in the past two seasons.
However, even if the Chiefs win, both the Ravens and Bills have shown they can hang with Kansas City. Baltimore came within a toe (and two-point conversion) of beating the Chiefs on the road in Week 1, and the Bills gave Kansas City its lone loss with Mahomes this season.