4 NFL QBs Projected To Be Better Than Patrick Mahomes In 2025 originally appeared on The Spun.

When it comes to the NFL‘s top QBs pretty much everyone’s top four is the same: Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson and Joe Burrow (usually in that order but not always).

Advertisement

But according to Warren Sharp‘s projections, a handful of Mahomes’ peers are expected to be better than him in 2025.

On Wednesday, the NFL analyst revealed his quarterback tier list made up of 38 signal-callers ranked from S+ to F. And the three-time Super Bowl champ found himself on the tale end of the league’s top-five with Josh, Lamar, Jalen Hurts and Jayden Daniels ahead of him.

On Mahomes Sharp noted 2024 featured:

career lows in YPA (6.8) & yards/game (246)

career low 26 pass TDs despite playing 16 games

career high 30.8% of passes thrown at/behind LOS

#3 highest rate of the last decade (Jake Browning, Alex Smith)

career high 36 sacks taken

career high 108 hits taken

Adding all of that sounds terrible, but on the bright side:

Rashee Rice, Marquise Brown, and Xavier Worthy never played a game together

we expect the KC to transition towards a reemphasis on pushing the ball downfield & running the offense through their WRs

and KC improved their tackle position via the draft & FA

While Mahomes’ numbers have ticked down in recent years, it seems like it’s more a function of how the Chiefs have needed to win games rather than a decline in ability or play.

KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI - JANUARY 18: Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs looks to pass against the Houston Texans during the first quarter in the AFC Divisional Playoff at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on January 18, 2025 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)Jamie Squire/Getty Images

KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI – JANUARY 18: Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs looks to pass against the Houston Texans during the first quarter in the AFC Divisional Playoff at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on January 18, 2025 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)Jamie Squire/Getty Images

Without the explosive weapons he was accustomed to earlier in his career, Kansas City has had to rely more on its defense and special teams to piece together Ws over the past two seasons (something they did 25 times in the 32 games Mahomes played in).

Advertisement

Still though, it’s unclear how much longer Patrick can go without the gaudy numbers before fans start replacing him at the top of their lists.

Related: Former NFL Reporter Michele Tafoya Called Out For Photo

4 NFL QBs Projected To Be Better Than Patrick Mahomes In 2025 first appeared on The Spun on Jul 9, 2025

This story was originally reported by The Spun on Jul 9, 2025, where it first appeared.