36%
Chance to make the playoffs
Based on 48,000 simulations.
More simulations
Likeliest Playoff Positions
Bye week 0%
Host wild card 0%
Wild card 36%
Out 64%
End-of-Season Outcomes
Division Standings
Highlighted teams would make the playoffs with the choices you’ve made so far.
Team
Overall
Div.
Dolphins
Opp.
Dec. 31, 2024 Updated 11:00 a.m. ET
The Miami Dolphins (8-8) beat the Cleveland Browns on Sunday, raising their chances of making the playoffs to 36 percent. They are on the cusp of being eliminated from playoff contention.
The table below represents the Dolphins’ remaining games. Pick a winner and see what happens to the Dolphins’ playoff chances:
Better
for the Dolphins
Doesn’t
matter
Worse
for the Dolphins
As you pick winners, the colors on some games will change, reflecting their relative importance. Explore other possibilities, like a first-round bye or a division title, right here:
The tables below represent every N.F.L. game remaining. Pick winners and explore which games matter most to the Dolphins’ chances.
About the simulator
With 16 games remaining, there are 65,536 different ways the N.F.L. regular season could end.
So we built this simulator. Most calculators force you to choose the winners of each remaining game. Here, you can choose the outcomes of just a few games and see how your team’s chances grow or shrink.
We estimate odds by randomly simulating the remainder of the season thousands of times and counting how often the Dolphins make the playoffs.
If you don’t specify an outcome for a particular game, we use an Elo rating system combined with information from betting markets to estimate each team’s chances of winning. (For simplicity, we assume each game has an equally small chance — one in 200 — of ending in a tie.)