One of the most important aspects you can know about NFL teams when creating a 2025 Fantasy football strategy is as simple as paying attention to how many plays they run per game and the pass vs. run split. For example, Justin Herbert is considered one of the top overall quarterbacks in the NFL. However, among teams with pocket passers such as Herbert, the Los Angeles Chargers ran more than nearly any other team in the NFL last year, with a 47.6% run play percentage. Only 10 teams ran the ball more than 47% of plays last season, and the majority of them are teams like the Eagles, Ravens, Commanders and others who had dual-threat quarterbacks, adding to that percentage. The Chargers also ran the fourth-fewest plays in the NFL under Jim Harbaugh in his first year as Chargers head coach, so could you feel confident with Herbert as your QB1 when leaving 2025 Fantasy football drafts?
Meanwhile, the Lions, Eagles and Cowboys ranked in the top three in total plays last season, and all three offenses are filled with players who will be high in 2025 Fantasy football rankings. Coaching tendencies and offensive philosophies are vital to building a championship 2025 Fantasy football strategy, and expert advice always factors that in. Before crafting your 2025 Fantasy football draft strategy, be sure to check out the 2025 Fantasy football rankings and cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Last year, the model accurately predicted that Bills running back James Cook would comfortably outperform his ADP (RB14). The result: Cook rushed for 1,009 yards and 16 touchdowns while adding 32 receptions for 258 yards and two more scores as a receiver. He finished as RB8 in CBS Sports PPR leagues and his maturation into a scoring threat cemented his status as a Fantasy football superstar.
The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020, nailing Jonathan Taylor’s monstrous season in 2021 and correctly predicting C.J. Stroud would take a step back in 2024. Additionally, it’s called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.
Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2025, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them.Â
Top 2025 Fantasy football sleepers
One of the 2025 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: Falcons wide receiver Darnell Mooney. The 27-year-old is coming off one of the best seasons of his five-year career after posting 64 receptions for 992 yards and five touchdowns in his first season in Atlanta. Mooney was a featured part of the Atlanta offense with both Kirk Cousins and Michael Penix Jr. under center, and he was the second-most targeted pass-catcher in the two games he played with Penix last season. The Falcons averaged 32 points per game in Penix’s three starts last year, and with the second-year quarterback expected to start Week 1, Atlanta’s offense could be significantly improved from last year.
Atlanta picked all defensive players until a seventh-round tackle in the 2025 NFL Draft, and the Falcons didn’t have significant free agent signings or trades during the offseason at the skill position, so Mooney should be a highly-targeted receiver again this year. He was second behind Drake London in nearly all pass-catching categories last year, and especially against defenses that look to double-team an opposing team’s top option, Mooney will have some breakout performances. He had more than 80 yards in seven of his 16 games last season, and with his ADP nearing the 50th wide receiver being taken in 2025 Fantasy football drafts, the model sees strong value in him as a 2025 Fantasy football sleeper.
Another sleeper that SportsLine’s Fantasy football rankings 2025 have identified: Packers quarterback Jordan Love. Although Love’s statistics, such as yards, touchdowns and completion percentage, regressed in his second season as the Packers’ starting quarterback, the 26-year-old did have a better quarterback rating and QBR, signaling improvement as an overall NFL quarterback.Â
Unlike they did for Aaron Rodgers, the Packers brought in reinforcements at receiver for Love through the NFL Draft. Green Bay selected Matthew Golden No. 23 overall as the third wide receiver off the board to give Love another playmaker. The Packers also have Jayden Reed, Romeo Doubs and Christian Watson, who is recovering from a torn ACL late last season, but will likely return later in the regular season, in an offense filled with options. See which other Fantasy football sleepers 2025 to pick here.
How to find proven 2025 Fantasy football rankings
SportsLine is also extremely high on a veteran wide receiver to surprise with his production. The model says this wideout is a shocking top-10 option ahead of younger stars like A.J. Brown and Drake London. You can only see who it is, and the 2025 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.
So which 2025 Fantasy Football sleepers should you target? And which wide receiver shocks the NFL with a top-10 performance? Visit SportsLine now to get 2025 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that called James Cook’s huge season, and find out.
2025 Fantasy football ADP
(PPR, via CBS)
1. Ja’Marr Chase (1.78)
2. Bijan Robinson (2.62)
3. Saquon Barkley (3.14)
4. Jahmyr Gibbs (4.26)
5. Justin Jefferson (7.20)
6. CeeDee Lamb (7.83)
7. Derrick Henry (10.14)
8. De’Von Achane (10.42)
9. Christian McCaffrey (11.09)
10. Malik Nabers (12.87)