It’s officially NFL Season Eve.
The 2025 NFL regular season will begin on Thursday night, September 4. The Philadelphia Eagles, winners of Super Bowl 59 – topping Kansas City, 40-22 – will be hosting the Dallas Cowboys at Lincoln Financial Field on Thursday evening. Kickoff between the Cowboys and the Eagles is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. E.T.
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Philadelphia is heading into the regular season, looking to win back-to-back Super Bowls. Dallas, meanwhile, is looking to reach the playoffs after missing the postseason in 2024.
View of the field during Apple Music halftime show of Super Bowl LVIII between the Kansas City Chiefs and the San Francisco 49ers at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nevada, February 11, 2024. (Photo by Patrick T. Fallon / AFP) (Photo by PATRICK T. FALLON/AFP via Getty Images)PATRICK T. FALLON/Getty Images
But who will end up reaching the Super Bowl?
ESPN’s computer model, the Football Power Index, released its final preseason Super Bowl 59 pick on Wednesday night.
The final Super Bowl 59 pick
ESPN’s computer model, the Football Power Index, released its final Super Bowl 59 pick on Wednesday evening.
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The pick:
Philadelphia Eagles over Baltimore Ravens
The Football Power Index model is giving the Eagles an 11.2 percent chance to win the Super Bowl, while it’s giving the Ravens a 10.4 percent chance to win the Super Bowl.
How does the FPI work?
ESPN’s Football Power Index updates daily.
“At its core, NFL FPI is a prediction system for the NFL. Each team’s FPI rating is composed of a predicted offensive, defensive and special teams efficiency, as measured by expected points added per play, and that rating is the basis for FPI’s game-level and season-level projections. In the preseason, FPI uses a number of predictive factors to project future team strength. The main component of preseason FPI is Vegas expectations; the expected win totals and money lines for each team are an accurate representation of predicted team strength and provide a strong baseline for teams entering the season. But relying solely on Vegas has its flaws, and more information is needed to determine what percentage of a team’s projected win total can be attributed to its offense, defense and special teams units — the components that make up FPI,” ESPN states.
This story was originally reported by The Spun on Sep 4, 2025, where it first appeared in the NFL section. Add The Spun as a Preferred Source by clicking here.