On Sunday Night Football, Derrick Henry and Khalil Shakir stand out as top Captain’s Pick plays in Week 1 on DraftKings.
The first Sunday of the NFL regular season builds up to a few key matchups, including a great Sunday Night Football showdown between the Baltimore Ravens and the Buffalo Bills. The matchup is the focus of some big DFS showdown contests, including the NFL $1.25M Sunday Night Showdown [$300K to 1st] (BAL @ BUF). As you build your lineups for Sunday Night Football, my favorite Captain’s Pick plays are Derrick Henry ($15,300 as Captain’s Pick) and Khalil Shakir ($11,400 as Captain’s Pick).
Here’s a deeper look at why I like these Captain’s Picks and how I’m going about building a lineup from top to bottom:
Derrick Henry as a Captain’s Pick
While both starting quarterbacks are great Captain’s Pick plays, they’re also extremely expensive. Lamar Jackson ($16,200 as Captain’s Pick) and Josh Allen ($16,500 as Captain’s Pick) went head-to-head twice last season. In Week 4, the Ravens romped past the Bills in the regular season, 35-10, but the Bills got their revenge in the postseason, winning 27-25 in Buffalo to advance to the AFC Championship, where they lost to the Chiefs.
Henry was impressive in both games, piling up 38.9 fantasy points in Week 4 and totaling 14.5 fantasy points in the playoff loss. He found the end zone in both of those games and finished with 21 total touchdowns in 19 regular and postseason games in his first year with the Ravens.
While Henry is 31, he’s shown no signs of slowing down. While he didn’t play in the preseason, he’s expected to resume his role as the team’s workhorse back in Week 1. He could share some work with Justice Hill ($4,500) and Keaton Mitchell ($3,000), but especially near the goal line, Henry should get the call.
Khalil Shakir as Captain’s Pick in a balanced build
If you are looking for a more affordable play, Shakir is another veteran who will be seeing his first game action since last season, but he brings consistent production for the Bills as the team’s top wide receiver.
Shakir battled a high-ankle sprain this training camp but was able to get back in practice in time to avoid an injury designation for Week 1. Last season, Shakir led the team in receptions with 76 and in receiving yards with 821 during the regular season. He added 18 cathes for 174 more yards in the team’s three postseason matchups as well.
Shakir only had four touchdowns, but he draws enough targets that he is still a reliable play with his PPR production. He had exactly six catches in each of the three playoff games and had at least six catches in nine of his last 13 games last year.
Against the Ravens, Shakir had six catches for 46 yards in the playoffs after four catches for 62 yards in their regular-season meeting. According to all the reports, he’s ready to go at full strength on Sunday, and if he is, he could be a good leverage option to build a balanced lineup around.
Lineup Advice
If you’re building around Henry, you’re counting on him to get into the end zone, so you can probably pass on stacking him with Lamar Jackson, unless you think the duo will run wild. It makes more sense to go with Allen in a flex spot, possibly with Shakir or Keon Coleman ($6,600). New Bills receiver Joshua Palmer ($5,400) also has the poential to be a key flex option under $6,000.
If you go with Shakir as your Captain’s Pick, it makes sense to include Allen as well. It is possible to include both quarterbacks with Shakir as your Captain’s Pick, as long as you use a few value plays from below. If you pass on either of the two star QBs, you have plenty of salary for a balanced build that includes Zay Flowers ($8,200) or James Cook ($9,200).
Value plays
As value plays, kickers and defense are usually low-risk plays with decent upside. However, the Bills and Ravens were the two worst matchups for DST units last year, so I prefer using recently signed veteran Matt Prater ($4,800) or rookie Tyler Loop ($4,600). The Ravens’ run-heavy attack made Justin Tucker one of the best kickers in the league, so I’d lean toward Loop if you’re just playing one kicker.
If you’re looking for cheap pass-catching options, Palmer has some sneaky upside in his Bills debut. With Isaiah Likely (foot) out, Charlie Kolar ($1,600) could get some extra work in two-tight-end formations.
Ray Davis ($3,200) could share more of the load this season with James Cook, who inked a four-year extension after a “hold-in” this training camp. Davis showed some potential upside last year when he got opportunities, although he didn’t look great while working with the backups this preseason.
On the other side, Justice Hill ($3,000) is also a change-of-pace play with touchdown-dependent upside. Keaton Mitchell ($2,000) has shown big-play sizzle but has also been limited by injury. It’ll be interesting to see if he has a role in the Ravens’ backfield in Week 1.