NFL Overreactions Week 2: Philly wins, Browning steps up for Bengals
Sports Seriously’s Mackenzie Salmon overreacts to some of the best games from Sunday’s Week 2 slate.
Sports Seriously
The Pittsburgh Steelers and New England Patriots play on Sunday, Sept. 21, at the Patriots’ Gillette Stadium in a game on the NFL Week 3 schedule.
Which team will win the NFL Week 3 game?
Check out these NFL Week 3 picks and NFL Week 3 predictions for the game, which can be seen at 10 a.m. MST on CBS (stream with FUBO).
The Steelers are a 1-point favorite over the Patriots in NFL Week 3 odds for the game, courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook.
Pittsburgh is -115 on the moneyline, while New England is -105. The over/under (point total) is set at 44.5 points.
NFL Week 3 picks: Dolphins at Bills | Falcons at Panthers | Packers at Browns | Texans at Jaguars | Bengals at Vikings | Steelers at Patriots | Rams at Eagles | Jets at Buccaneers | Colts at Titans | Raiders at Commanders | Broncos at Chargers | Saints at Seahawks | Cowboys at Bears | Cardinals at 49ers | Chiefs at Giants | Lions at Ravens | The Republic’s score predictions
Watch Steelers at Patriots live on FUBO (free trial)
Jeremy Cluff writes: “The Steelers were favored by a point in the early NFL Week 3 odds for this game. We don’t see it. Drake Maye and the Patriots will move above .500 with a close victory at home.”
Bookies.com: Bet the Patriots with the points vs Steelers
Bill Speros writes: “The Patriots celebrate former coach Bill Parcells at halftime. Mike Vrabel earned his first win as Patriots head coach Sunday in Miami, as the Patriots won by not making as many mistakes as the woeful Dolphins. Drake Maye was 2 when Aaron Rodgers took his first NFL snap. A-Rod and the Steelers got thrashed 31-17 Sunday at home by the Seahawks. Maye gets his break-through win as home underdog.”
The site’s formula predicts that the Steelers will win the NFL Week 3 game against the Patriots.
ESPN: Patriots have a 50.1% chance to beat Steelers on Sunday
The site gives the Steelers a 49.5% shot at winning the NFL Week 3 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.
Dimers: Patriots 22, Steelers 21
It writes: “After extensive simulations, our model gives the Steelers a win probability of 45%, while the Patriots have a win probability of 55%.”
Sportsnaut: Patriots 28, Steelers 24
Matt Johnson writes: “The Pittsburgh Steelers‘ chances to win in Week 3 feel heavily dependent on the status of cornerback Christian Gonzalez, who has missed the first two games of the season. If Gonzalez isn’t on the field, the New England Patriots don’t have the guy to match up with DK Metcalf in coverage. Running the football (62.5 rush ypg, 30th in NFL) won’t be an option for Pittsburgh versus New England’s defense (58.5 rush ypg allowed, 3rd in NFL). New England will be able to dial up pressure on 41-year-old quarterback Aaron Rodgers and nothing we’ve seen from this Steelers’ defense in 2025 (3.40 points per drive allowed, 29th in NFL) suggests they can slow anyone down. This makes for an underrated game to watch on the NFL schedule this week, but we favor the Patriots because of their advantages right now.”
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Reach Jeremy Cluff at jeremy.cluff@arizonarepublic.com. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter @Jeremy_Cluff.
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