Eagles (3-0) at Buccaneers (3-0), Sunday 1:00pm

ML/Point Spread – Eagles -3.5/-190           Buccaneers +3.5/+160

Total Points – 44.5 points

Analysis: Tampa doesn’t seem to be comfortable unless they’re uncomfortable: they’re 3-0, but by a combined six points. That would lend itself to leaning toward the Bucs and take the 3.5 points, but surprisingly, they’re just 5-5 ATS at home since the start of 2024. I’d feel just fine teasing it to +6.5. Eagles are 7-2 ATS since the start of 2024.

Picks: Eagles -3.5, OVER 44.5 points

Passing Props

Baker Mayfield – 223.5 yards; 1.5 passing TDs (+124/-166); 20.5 completions; 31.5 attempts

Jalen Hurts – 188.5 yards; 1.5 passing TDs (+178/-245); 18.5 completions; 26.5 attempts

Analysis: These numbers are calling for the over for Mayfield. He has 2+ TD in 14/20, over 223.5 in 12/20, and over 20.5 completions in 14/20. But without Mike Evans as his go-to, can he be as prolific?

Hurts is coming off perhaps the best half of football of his career in the Eagles’ comeback win last week. The question is if that performance was due to game plan or how the script of the game played out. Would he have carved up the Rams if he didn’t have to?

Picks: Mayfield OVER completions; Hurts OVER yards

Rushing Props

Saquon Barkley – 81.5 yards; 18.5 attempts

Hurts – 40.5 yards; 9.5 attempts

Bucky Irving – 62.5 yards; 15.5 attempts

Mayfield – 17.5 yards; 3.5 attempts

Rachaad White – 16.5 yards

Analysis: Irving has 42 carries, 137 yards in his last 2 games, and has topped 62.5 yards in 6/7 dating back to last season. Mayfield is averaging nearly 39 yards/game this season on just 12 total carries. Barkley has 18, 22, and 18 carries this season. Hurts has 14, 9, and 9.

Picks: Irving OVER yards, OVER attempts; Mayfield OVER yards; Barkley OVER attempts

Receiving Props

A.J. Brown – 61.5 yards; 4.5 receptions

DeVonta Smith – 34.5 yards; 4.5 receptions

Dallas Goedert – 34.5 yards; 3.5 receptions

Irving – 23.5 yards; 3.5 receptions

Barkley – 15.5 yards; 2.5 receptions

Dotson – 7.5 yards

Analysis: Like Hurts’ passing numbers, the receiving props are a dicey affair. Will we see the passing game from the second half last Sunday, or from the other five halves of football this season? Irving is 14/14 on passes his way this season through three games. He’s a lock to go over.

Picks: Brown OVER receptions; Smith OVER receptions; Irving OVER receptions, OVER yards

Anytime Touchdowns

Barkley – -140

Hurts – -135

Irving – +110

Egbuka – +175

A.J. Brown – +190

Smith – +240

Chris Godwin – +250

Goedert – +360

Analysis: You know how I roll: Hurts and Barkley, every week. If Godwin or Egbuka end up playing, I would sprinkle some their way.

Picks: Barkley, Hurts; Irving, Godwin