As a receiver, Robinson ranks second among running backs in yards after the catch (169) and yards after the catch over expectation (+65). He has caught 14 of the 18 passes thrown his way and generated 48 yards over expectation, good for second in the NFL. All this to say, Robinson’s ability to turn nothing into something, or a small gain into a big one, makes him the straw that stirs the drink for Atlanta — a fact every team the Falcons play against is certainly game planning for.
To be successful against the Commanders, Atlanta will not only need to feature Robinson but make sure he can be his dynamic self. Washington has been a sound defense when it comes to limiting opponents’ runners. The Commanders are allowing an explosive run rate of just 8.6%, which ranks 12th in the NFL this season. Additionally, former Falcons head coach Dan Quinn’s unit ranks seventh in missed tackle rate (16.7%) and fifth in rushing success rate (35.8%).
The Commanders have also been sound against running backs in the passing game, allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 8-of-14 passes for 54 yards and a 65.8 passer rating. While Washington has surrendered just 3.9 yards per attempt, it has been vulnerable to yards after the catch, with opposing running backs averaging 7.3 YAC per reception.
As with any game, success will ultimately come down to whichever team can execute the best over the course of 60 minutes, but Robinson gives the Falcons an advantage anytime he is on the field.