The Seattle Seahawks are back in the top spot in DVOA after this week’s 20-12 victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Seahawks are helped out by a No. 1 ranking in special teams, which is why you’ll find them higher here than in EPA-based rankings around the Internet that don’t include special teams. But the Seahawks are also fourth in DVOA for both offense and defense. Indianapolis moves up a spot to No. 2, although the other 5-1 team, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, is down at No. 13. Detroit drops from the top spot to No. 3, the Rams stay at No. 4, and the Chiefs are now up to No. 5.

You see a crazy range this year for all the 4-2 teams in the NFL, showing how much difference there has been between the underlying DVOA stats and the actual wins and losses in 2025. New England and San Francisco have negative DVOA despite their 4-2 records. On the other hand, the Seahawks are the second-best 4-2 team ever measured by DVOA, trailing only the 2015 Arizona Cardinals. The Lions and Rams also appear on a list of the top 4-2 teams since 1978.

Top 4-2 Teams by DVOA, 1978-2025

Year
Team
W-L
DVOA
Rk
Final W-L
Playoffs

2015
ARI
4-2
45.1%
2
13-3
Lost CCG

2025
SEA
4-2
44.2%
1
—
—

1992
PHI
4-2
38.7%
1
11-5
Lost DIV

2023
BUF
4-2
38.0%
3
11-6
Lost DIV

2006
PHI
4-2
36.8%
3
10-6
Lost DIV

2021
BUF
4-2
35.4%
1
11-6
Lost DIV

2020
TB
4-2
35.1%
1
11-5
Won SB

2025
DET
4-2
33.6%
3
—
—

2024
BAL
4-2
33.2%
3
12-5
Lost DIV

2025
LAR
4-2
33.1%
4
—
—

1995
SF
4-2
32.6%
2
11-5
Lost DIV

1981
BUF
4-2
32.2%
2
10-6
Lost DIV

2005
PIT
4-2
31.4%
1
11-5
Won SB

The Seahawks are also among the rare teams to rank in the top five in all three phases of the game. Here’s a look at the teams that ranked in the top five in all three phases after six games. Four of these teams won the Super Bowl, and the 1980 Eagles lost the Super Bowl. The 1995 Raiders collapsed after their hot start, finishing 8-8 and not even making the playoffs.

Top 5 DVOA in All Three Phases After Six Games, 1978-2025

Year
Team
DVOA
W-L
OFF
Rk
DEF
Rk
ST
Rk
Final
W-L
Playoffs

1980
PHI
37.7%
5-1
20.2%
1
-12.2%
3
5.3%
4
12-4
Lost SB

1985
CHI
47.9%
6-0
26.6%
1
-16.7%
4
4.5%
3
15-1
Won SB

1990
NYG
40.5%
6-0
16.3%
5
-17.3%
2
6.9%
1
13-3
Won SB

1995
OAK
45.2%
5-1
17.7%
4
-23.4%
2
4.0%
5
8-8
None

1996
GB
54.8%
5-1
17.2%
2
-31.2%
1
6.4%
5
13-3
Won SB

1999
STL
55.3%
6-0
25.4%
2
-18.6%
1
11.3%
1
13-3
Won SB

2022
BUF
46.1%
5-1
20.0%
2
-24.4%
1
1.6%
5
13-3
Lost DIV

2025
SEA
44.2%
4-2
21.8%
4
-12.4%
4
10.0%
1
—
—

Below the top five, there are some big movements this week. The Steelers are up five spots to No. 9, the Falcons are up three spots to No. 10, and the Buccaneers move up five spots to No. 13. On the other hand, the Bills drop from ninth to 12th, the Eagles drop from 11th to 15th, and the 49ers drop from 16th to 22nd.

The Seahawks may be nicely balanced, but there are some teams right now that are very unbalanced. The Bills, Cowboys, and Patriots are much better on offense than defense. The Vikings, Broncos, Raiders, and Browns are much better on defense than offense.

The Patriots stand out in particular because of how their offense is put together. Drake Maye is an MVP candidate, but the running game is going nowhere. (Remember that in DVOA, Maye’s scrambles count as pass plays rather than running plays.) The Patriots are currently fourth in passing but dead last in rushing. Only four teams since 2002 have ranked in the top four of passing but the bottom four of rushing after six weeks: the 2003 Titans, the 2010 Broncos, the 2014 Chargers and the 2025 Patriots. Only the 2003 Titans actually finished the year with this split, as they were No. 1 passing but No. 31 rushing. Quarterback Steve McNair was co-MVP that year.

There’s a similar split for the New York Jets defense, which currently ranks fourth against the run but 30th against the pass. The Jets are only the third team since 2002 to be in the top four against the run but the bottom four against the pass after six games. The other two teams were the 2009 Titans and the 2017 Browns. Both of those teams were also 0-6. It’s just better to stop the pass than to stop the run.

* * * * *

These are the FTN DVOA and DAVE ratings through six weeks of 2025. Our Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA) system breaks down every single play and compares a team’s performance to the league average based on situation in order to determine value over average. (Explained further here.) Opponent adjustments are currently at 60% of their final strength.

OFFENSE and DEFENSE DVOA are adjusted for performance indoors and consider all fumbles, kept or lost, as equal value. SPECIAL TEAMS DVOA is adjusted for type of stadium (warm, cold, dome, Denver) and week of season. As always, positive numbers represent more points so DEFENSE is better when it is NEGATIVE.

DAVE is a formula which combines our preseason forecast with current DVOA to get a more accurate projection of how a team will play the rest of the season. For teams with six games, DAVE is currently 41% preseason forecast for offense and 70% preseason forecast for defense and special teams. For teams with five games, DAVE is currently 50% preseason forecast for offense and 77% preseason forecast for defense and special teams.

RK
TEAM
TOTAL
DVOA
LAST
WEEK
TOTAL
DAVE
RK
W-L
OFF.
DVOA
OFF.
RK
DEF.
DVOA
DEF.
RK
S.T.
DVOA
S.T.
RK

1
SEA
44.2%
2
19.6%
3
4-2
21.8%
4
-12.4%
4
10.0%
1

2
IND
33.6%
3
11.5%
8
5-1
28.3%
1
-3.8%
15
1.6%
12

3
DET
33.6%
1
26.3%
1
4-2
19.3%
5
-8.5%
8
5.8%
5

4
LAR
33.1%
4
19.0%
4
4-2
22.5%
3
-11.7%
5
-1.1%
22

5
KC
23.9%
6
22.0%
2
3-3
22.8%
2
-1.2%
19
0.0%
18

6
WAS
23.1%
5
15.2%
6
3-3
10.6%
9
-3.8%
14
8.6%
3

7
GB
20.8%
7
12.7%
7
3-1-1
8.2%
10
-14.2%
2
-1.6%
24

8
HOU
18.1%
8
6.0%
12
2-3
0.8%
15
-12.8%
3
4.5%
7

9
PIT
14.8%
14
3.4%
13
4-1
4.2%
12
-10.9%
7
-0.2%
20

10
ATL
11.2%
13
-1.2%
18
3-2
-0.3%
17
-19.7%
1
-8.2%
30

11
DEN
10.1%
10
6.9%
11
4-2
-1.3%
18
-11.3%
6
0.2%
17

12
BUF
8.1%
9
16.8%
5
4-2
16.9%
6
8.6%
26
-0.2%
19

13
TB
6.5%
18
7.1%
10
5-1
15.0%
8
-2.2%
17
-10.8%
31

14
JAX
4.5%
12
1.4%
15
4-2
0.2%
16
-3.7%
16
0.6%
15

15
PHI
2.3%
11
8.8%
9
4-2
2.6%
14
-2.0%
18
-2.2%
25

16
LAC
0.9%
17
0.4%
17
4-2
-3.0%
19
-4.7%
12
-0.8%
21

RK
TEAM
TOTAL
DVOA
LAST
WEEK
TOTAL
DAVE
RK
W-L
OFF.
DVOA
OFF.
RK
DEF.
DVOA
DEF.
RK
S.T.
DVOA
S.T.
RK

17
DAL
-2.0%
15
2.1%
14
2-3-1
16.9%
7
21.9%
31
3.0%
8

18
ARI
-3.4%
19
-1.7%
19
2-4
-8.4%
23
-4.6%
13
0.4%
16

19
NE
-4.3%
20
-2.2%
21
4-2
6.5%
11
12.4%
29
1.6%
11

20
MIN
-5.0%
21
-3.4%
23
3-2
-14.5%
27
-6.5%
9
3.0%
9

21
CHI
-7.2%
23
-2.8%
22
3-2
-5.6%
21
3.2%
21
1.6%
10

22
SF
-8.1%
16
-2.2%
20
4-2
2.6%
13
3.7%
22
-7.0%
27

23
NYG
-11.6%
27
-12.1%
24
2-4
-13.1%
26
5.0%
23
6.5%
4

24
CAR
-13.7%
24
-18.1%
27
3-3
-8.5%
24
1.4%
20
-3.7%
26

25
BAL
-15.1%
22
0.5%
16
1-5
-6.8%
22
9.7%
27
1.4%
14

26
MIA
-20.0%
25
-12.2%
25
1-5
-3.6%
20
22.3%
32
5.8%
6

27
NYJ
-21.1%
28
-18.9%
28
0-6
-22.1%
30
7.9%
25
8.9%
2

28
LV
-23.5%
29
-14.3%
26
2-4
-21.8%
29
-5.7%
10
-7.4%
29

29
CLE
-28.6%
26
-20.5%
30
1-5
-26.6%
31
-5.2%
11
-7.2%
28

30
NO
-33.0%
30
-19.4%
29
1-5
-9.1%
25
10.4%
28
-13.5%
32

31
TEN
-38.3%
31
-30.3%
32
1-5
-33.6%
32
6.1%
24
1.4%
13

32
CIN
-40.3%
32
-21.2%
31
2-4
-20.2%
28
19.0%
30
-1.1%
23