Who are the NFL experts predicting wins the Jaguars vs. Texans Week 10 game?

The Jacksonville Jaguars are back on the road in Week 10, this time taking on the Houston Texans for the second time this season.

So, who do the NFL experts have winning this matchup?

The Jaguars won the first matchup at home by a score of 17-10.

Jacksonville will enter this game at 5-3 on the season and inside the AFC playoff picture. Houston, meanwhile, is 3-5 on the season.

The Texans have already ruled out quarterback CJ Stroud for this game, which means that Davis Mills will get the start. For the Jaguars, Brian Thomas Jr., Jourdan Lewis, and a few other starters are on this week’s injury report.

To see how these two teams compare to one another, and who may have the upper hand in certain areas, you can find that here.

The Jaguars are the slight road favorites in this matchup, but do the NFL experts agree?

ESPN

ESPN’s three expert predictors are all taking the Texans in this game. ESPN’s FPI prediction model, however, which runs thousands of simulations, gives the Jaguars a 55% chance of winning this game and Jacksonville does by an average of 1.6 points.

NFL.com

Another one where many are favoring the Texans. Four of NFL.com’s five staff members are picking Houston. Here is why Tom Blair is picking the Texans:

“Lawrence already helped squeak out a 17-10 victory over the Texans in Jacksonville in Week 3, despite logging the eighth-worst passer rating (56.5) of his career in that game,” Blaire wrote. “But the Jags’ defense has softened since then, and Houston’s has further solidified, and I can’t shake the feeling that Lawrence and Co. will struggle to stand up to the heat.”

Pro Football Talk

Mike Florio is picking the Texans to win by a field goal in a low-scoring game, while Chris Simms is picking Jacksonville to win by a field goal.

“Davis Mills is no slouch, and the Houston defense is dominant,” Florio wrote.

CBS Sports

Pete Prisco is picking the Texans to win by a score of 23-17.

“The Jaguars are banged up in a lot of spots, but the Texans might not have C.J. Stroud, who is in the concussion protocol,” Prisco wrote. “The Jaguars are playing consecutive road games, which is tough. This is a tough pick because of all the injuries, but I will go with the Texans behind their defense because I think Stroud will play.”  

Sports illustrated

The Monday Morning Quarterback crew is mostly picking the Jaguars this week. Of SI’s seven predictors, five are taking Jacksonville.