Sportsbooks project a close game when the Los Angeles Chargers (6-3) square off against the Pittsburgh Steelers (5-3) as only 2.5-point favorites on Sunday, November 9, 2025. This contest has an over/under of 44.5 points.

See game prop insights in this article, including team to score first and player prop bet insights.

Chargers vs. Steelers game odds

NFL odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Saturday at 1:42 a.m. ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Spread: Chargers -2.5 (-118 to cover)Moneylines: Chargers -150, Steelers +125Total: 44.5 points (Over: -110, Under: -110)Pick ATS: Chargers (-2.5)Pick OU: Over (44.5)Prediction:
Chargers 26 – Steelers 22First TD odds and insights

First TD odds: Chargers -135, Steelers +100

The Chargers have scored the opening touchdown in five games out of the nine they’ve played so far.In those five games, one of Los Angeles’ scores came on the ground, and four via the pass.In the first quarter, the Chargers have scored five touchdowns, the seventh-most in the NFL.The Steelers have scored the first touchdown five times in eight games.In those five games, three of Pittsburgh’s scores came via the pass, and two on the ground.In the first quarter, the Steelers have scored four touchdowns, 12th in the league.

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Justin Herbert player propsPassing yard prop: Over/under 260.5 yardsRushing yard prop: Over/under 20.5 yardsJustin Herbert’s passing yards per game average (265.6) is 5.1 yards greater than Sunday’s over/under.Herbert has hit the over on his passing yard totals in five games this season (55.6% of total opportunities).Herbert has a passing touchdown in all nine games this season, with multiple passing TDs in six of them.Quentin Johnston player propsReceiving yard prop: Over/under 41.5 yardsQuentin Johnston averages 65.7 receiving yards per game, 24.2 more than the over/under of 41.5 set for Sunday’s matchup.Johnston has hit the over on his prop bets for receiving yards in five of seven games this year (71.4%).In five of seven games this season, Johnston has a receiving touchdown (and he has one game with multiple receiving TDs).Aaron Rodgers player propsPassing yard prop: Over/under 223.5 yardsRushing yard prop: Over/under 0.5 yardsAaron Rodgers throws for 211.5 passing yards per game this season, which is less than his prop bet over/under for this matchup of 223.5.Rodgers has gone over on passing yards prop bets in four of eight opportunities this year (50.0%).Rodgers has a passing touchdown in all eight games this year, with multiple passing TDs in five of them.Jaylen Warren player propsRushing yard prop: Over/under 58.5 yardsReceiving yard prop: Over/under 17.5 yardsJaylen Warren’s 57.7 rushing yards per game average in 2025 is 0.8 fewer than Sunday’s over/under.Warren has hit the over on his rushing yards totals in four games (57.1%) out of seven opportunities.Warren has at least one rushing touchdown in one game this season and had multiple rushing TDs in that game.