NFL overreactions Week 10: Dolphins beat Bills, NFC West race heats up
USA TODAY Sports’ Prince Grimes ‘overreacts’ to some of the best games from Sunday’s Week 10 slate.
In our NFL power rankings for Week 1 before the 2025 NFL regular season kicked off, we ranked every NFL team by its odds to win the Super Bowl this season.
Our NFL power rankings for Week 11 include each NFL team’s current Super Bowl odds, courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook, so you can see how NFL teams are performing relative to their preseason odds with the NFL Week 10 schedule now in the books.
The biggest surprises so far? The Indianapolis Colts have gone from +10000 to win the Super Bowl before the season to +1100 entering NFL Week 11, the New England Patriots are now at +2000 (started at +8000) and the Seattle Seahawks are at +900 (began season at +6000).
Some disappointments? The Washington Commanders are now at +75000 to win the Super Bowl after beginning the season at +1800, the Cincinnati Bengals are at +100000 (were at +2000 in Week 1) and the San Francisco 49ers have fallen to +5000 (opened at +2000).
How have odds changed for each team to win the Super Bowl ten weeks into the season? Previous NFL power ranking in parentheses. Click on each team’s NFL Week 11 matchup for NFL Week 11 picks, NFL Week 11 predictions and NFL Week 11 odds for its game this week.
NFL Week 11 picks: Jets at Patriots | Commanders vs Dolphins | Panthers at Falcons | Buccaneers at Bills | Chargers at Jaguars | Bears at Vikings | Packers at Giants | Bengals at Steelers | Texans at Titans | 49ers at Cardinals | Seahawks at Rams | Ravens at Browns | Chiefs at Broncos | Lions at Eagles | Cowboys at Raiders | The Republic’s predictions
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The Titans are 0-4 at home this season, but have a good chance to try to get their first win at Nissan Stadium in Week 11 against the Texans.
The Browns’ defense held New York to 169 yards and 47 total plays, but lost thanks to a punt return touchdown and a kickoff return touchdown for New York. Ouch.
The Raiders have played nine games this season. They have scored 139 points. You aren’t going to win many games when you average 15.4 points per game.
The Giants had a 20-10 lead with 10:19 left in the fourth quarter and lost. It was New York’s fourth-straight loss.
28. New Orleans Saints (32)NFL Week 10: Beat Carolina Panthers, 17-7NFL Week 11: OffPreseason Super Bowl odds: +30000Current Super Bowl odds: +100000
The Saints’ defense held Carolina to 175 total yards and rookie Tyler Shough went 19-for-27 for 282 yards, with two touchdown passes.
27. New York Jets (30)
Who are these guys? The Jets have won two straight games. Touchdowns on a kickoff return and a punt return were key in New York’s win.
26. Washington Commanders (25)
It’s looking like a lost season for the Commanders, who have lost five straight games. It might not matter when Jayden Daniels returns.
The losses keep coming for Atlanta, which has now lost four straight. Michael Penix Jr. and company will look to end that skid at home against the Panthers this week.
This team has now won two of its last three and got a big performance from De’Von Achane (22 carries, 174 yards, two touchdowns) against Buffalo).
23. Cincinnati Bengals (23)
The Bengals are 3-6 and face the Steelers, Patriots, Ravens and Bills in the next four weeks. Good luck, Cincinnati.
If the Cowboys want any chance to make the postseason, they have to beat the Raiders. They have the Eagles, Chiefs and Lions on the schedule after Las Vegas.
After an impressive win on Monday Night Football, the Cardinals sleepwalked into Seattle, falling behind 35-0 with 8:33 left in the second quarter. Completely inexcusable.
20. Minnesota Vikings (18)
J.J. McCarthy was just 20-for-42 for 248 yards with one touchdown pass and two passes intercepted for Minnesota, which sits in last in the NFC North.
The Texans were down 29-10 entering the fourth quarter and scored 26 points behind two passing scores and a rushing score from QB Davis Mills to get the huge win over the Jaguars.
18. Carolina Panthers (17)
This Carolina team has scored 13, 9, 16 and 7 points in its last four games. It is 2-2 over that time, but needs to step up on offense.
17. Baltimore Ravens (19)
Baltimore is now 4-5 after winning its third straight game. Its defense is starting to step up, which is key for the Ravens.
16. San Francisco 49ers (14)
Since starting the season 3-0, the 49ers have traded losses and wins. There are some very winnable games with the Cardinals, Panthers, Browns and Titans up next.
15. Jacksonville Jaguars (13)
Jacksonville somehow allowed Davis Mills and the Texans to score 26 points in the fourth quarter, while putting up a zero in that quarter. Ouch.
The Steelers turned the ball over three times in the loss to the Chargers and only had 221 yards in the game. Pittsburgh needs to find a way to get the ball to DK Metcalf more (3 catches, 35 yards).
13. Kansas City Chiefs (15)
While the loss to the Bills hurt last week, Kansas City comes out of its bye having won five of its last seven games. Can it end Denver’s win streak in Week 11?
12. Green Bay Packers (7)
The Packers fell to 5-3-1 on the season with their loss to the Eagles, their second straight loss, and went from first to third in the NFC North, falling behind the 6-3 Detroit Lions and the 6-3 Chicago Bears. Ouch.
11. Buffalo Bills (6)
Were the Bills suffering a hangover after being the Chiefs? Josh Allen and Buffalo hadn’t lost to Miami since Week 3 of the 2022 season.
Tampa Bay couldn’t contain TreVeyon Henderson, who had 147 yards and two carries on 14 carries for the Patriots.
9. Chicago Bears (16)
The Bears have won two straight and six of their last seven games to climb the NFC North standings. Caleb Williams had a touchdown pass and a touchdown run in the last four minutes of Chicago’s comeback against New York.
8. Los Angeles Chargers (12)
Three straight wins have the Chargers at 7-3, just one game behind the 8-2 Broncos, who face the 5-4 Chiefs in NFL Week 12. The AFC West race could be very interesting down the stretch.
7. Detroit Lions (8)
The Lions outrushed the Commanders, 226-93. They averaged 6.8 yards per carry. Jahmyr Gibbs and company are hard to stop.
6. Los Angeles Rams (10)
Matthew Stafford has thrown at least four touchdown passes in his last three games. He has 21 touchdown passes and two interceptions this season. Is he a contender for his first MVP award?
5. Seattle Seahawks (9)
Sam Darnold and company have now won four straight games, setting up a huge showdown for first place against the Rams in Week 11.
4. Philadelphia Eagles (4)
The Eagles have now won three straight games entering their huge showdown against the Lions on Sunday Night Football in NFL Week 11. They have competition in the NFC, but they are still our favorite in that conference.
3. Indianapolis Colts (2)
Jonathan Taylor had 244 yards and three touchdowns in the Colts’ big win in Berlin. We know that QBs usually win the MVP award, but he really should be the favorite right now.
NFL Week 10: Beat Atlanta Falcons in overtime, 31-25NFL Week 11: OffPreseason Super Bowl odds: +10000Current Super Bowl odds: +11002. Denver Broncos (3)
The Broncos have won seven in a row, and a seven-game win streak should be rewarded. Denver is 5-0 at home ahead of its Week 11 home game against the Chiefs. Have your popcorn ready for that game.
1. New England Patriots (1)
The Patriots have now won seven in a row and are 5-0 on the road. While they haven’t had the most difficult schedule, they still have wins over the Bills and Buccaneers. How long can they keep this win streak going? New England has the Jets, Bengals and Giants in its next three games.
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Reach Jeremy Cluff at jeremy.cluff@arizonarepublic.com. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter @Jeremy_Cluff.
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