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NFL overreactions Week 10: Dolphins beat Bills, NFC West race heats up

USA TODAY Sports’ Prince Grimes ‘overreacts’ to some of the best games from Sunday’s Week 10 slate.

The Houston Texans and Tennessee Titans play on Sunday, Nov. 16, at the Titans’ Nissan Stadium in a game on the NFL Week 11 schedule.

Which team will win the NFL Week 11 game?

Check out these NFL Week 11 picks and NFL Week 11 predictions for the game, which can be seen at 11 a.m. MST on FOX (stream with FUBO).

The Texans are a 7.5-point favorite over the Titans in NFL Week 11 odds for the game, courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook.

Houston is -375 on the moneyline, while Tennessee is +300. The over/under (point total) is set at 39.5 points.

NFL Week 11 picks: Jets at Patriots | Commanders vs Dolphins | Panthers at Falcons | Buccaneers at Bills | Chargers at Jaguars | Bears at Vikings | Packers at Giants | Bengals at Steelers | Texans at Titans | 49ers at Cardinals | Seahawks at Rams | Ravens at Browns | Chiefs at Broncos | Lions at Eagles | Cowboys at Raiders | The Republic’s predictions

Watch Texans at Titans live on FUBO (free trial)

Jeremy Cluff writes: “Davis Mills and the Texans outscored the Jaguars in the fourth quarter in Week 10, 26-0. The Titans are averaging 14.4 points per game. Advantage: Houston.”

Bookies.com: Bet the under in Titans vs Texans game

Bill Speros writes: “The 1-8 Titans managed not to lose during the bye week. The Texans (5-4) rallied from a 19-point deficit for 26 points in the 4th quarter to declaw the Jaguars 36-29. And they did it back-up with Davis Mills at quarterback. C.J. Stroud suffered a concussion two weeks ago. His status remains uncertain. The Titans need to lose out to keep the No. 1 pick. The Texans oblige this week. This game carries the lowest total of the week at 38.5 points for a good season. A 17-10 final beckons in our Week 11 NFL Best Bets.”

Yes, the site’s formula predicts the Titans will score only 1.6 points in their Week 11 game against the Texans.

ESPN: Texans have a 67.8% chance to beat Titans on Sunday

The site gives the Titans a 31.9% shot at winning the NFL Week 11 game, with the remaining percentage accounting for a tie.

Dimers: Texans 23, Titans 20

It writes: “After extensive simulations, our model gives the Texans a win probability of 62%, while the Titans have a win probability of 38%.”

Sportsnaut: Houston Texans 23, Tennessee Titans 6

Matt Johnson writes: “The last time Cam Ward faced the Houston Texans, he walked off the field having lost a 26-0 shutout. It’s difficult to find any reason why things would be that different in Week 11. The Tennessee Titans still can’t pass protect, and that’s a death sentence against the Texans pass rush, especially with the huge advantages Houston has over Tennessee in the secondary. Jeffery Simmons might cause some havoc against the Texans offensive line, but that’s only if he plays in Week 11. Houston’s defense nearly pitches another shutout, with multiple takeaways helping set up a few scoring drives for the Texans offense.”

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Reach Jeremy Cluff at jeremy.cluff@arizonarepublic.com. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter @Jeremy_Cluff.

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