Back in August, Adam Rank and I decided to fight back against the algorithms attempting to upend football predictions as we know it. We bravely picked all 272 games of the 2025 NFL season, with the goal of proving once and for all that human analysis and gut instinct still have a place in our cold, data-driven world.
So far, it’s not going great.
Two of us set out on this dubious mission, and only one of us remains in the battle midway through the season. (Don’t worry, Rank is fine; he’s just too busy for silly exercises like this.) And I’ve had my fair share of whiffs through 10 weeks.
Then again, I dare you to show me a model that projected Indianapolis would sit atop the AFC midway through November while Baltimore and Kansas City lingered on the playoff bubble (don’t actually show me). And my hits (surprisingly) actually do outnumber my misses (56% accuracy), which seems like an overall win, considering the chaotic nature of this particular campaign. I was within one loss of 20 teams’ midseason records, and within two losses of 26. (Those other six teams? Let’s not worry about them …)
In any case, considering elaborate models have the benefit of running thousands, if not millions, of simulations to spit out updated projections, it seemed only fair that I have a chance to revisit my picks, too — at least the ones for the second half of the season.
So, once again, here’s a very fallible look at how every remaining game will play out, along with a review of my previous projections for each AFC team below. (To see projections for the NFC, click here.)