Detroit Lions (6-3) vs. Eagles (7-2) Sunday, 8:20pm
Point spread/ML: Lions – +2.5/+120 Eagles – -2.5/-142
Total points (O/U): 46.5 points
All odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook
Analysis: Some think this could be a prequel to these two teams meeting in the NFC title game ten weeks from now. Eagles return home with a short week after a 10-7 nail-biter Monday against the Packers on the road, while Dan Campbell’s bunch barely broke a sweat rolling over a decimated Commanders team 44-22. Detroit is 8-15-1 SU since 2021 as road underdogs; Eagles are 27-5 SU as home favorites over the same span.
Picks: Eagles ML
Passing Props (O/U)
Jalen Hurts – 203.5 yards; 1.5 passing TD (-136/+102); 17.5 completions; 26.5 attempts
Jared Goff – 241.5 yards; 1.5 passing TD (+100/-132); 22.5 completions; 32.5 attempts
Analysis: The Lions’ pass defense ranks 10th in yardage allowed, but they have just 3 INTs and have allowed 21 TD. I honestly don’t know what to make of the Eagles’ offense as a whole, especially with all the AJ Brown silliness, plus it’s difficult to make head or tails of the Lions pass D. They’re missing two starters in their secondary, and the last two QBs they’ve faced were an unimpressive JJ McCarthy and the ghost of Marcus Mariota.
Picks: Hurts OVER passing TD; Goff OVER yards
Rushing Props (O/U)
Saquon Barkley – 70.5 yards; 17.5 attempts
Jahmyr Gibbs – 63.5 yards; 13.5 attempts
David Montgomery – 40.5 yards; 10.5 attempts
Hurts – 27.5 yards; 6.5 attempts
Analysis: For better or worse, the Eagles continue to pound the rock with Barkley. I don’t expect that to change. Gibbs has had at least 15 carries in 5/7; Montgomery 11 or more in 7/9 this season. I don’t feel great about Barkley or Gibbs hitting on yards, try a lower mark for a safer play.
Picks: Gibbs OVER attempts; Montgomery OVER attempts; Barkley OVER attempts
Receiving Props (O/U)
Amon-Ra St Brown – 75.5 yards; 7.5 receptions
A.J. Brown – 60.5 yards; 4.5 receptions
DeVonta Smith – 57.5 yards; 4.5 receptions
Jameson Williams – 47.5 yards; 3.5 receptions
Dallas Goedert – 37.5 yards; 4.5 receptions
Gibbs – 21.5 yards; 3.5 receptions
Barkley – 16.5 yards; 2.5 receptions
Analysis: St Brown has reached 76 yards in 5/9 this year, 8 catches in 6/9. Lions’ Pro Bowl TE Sam LaPorta (back) has yet to practice this week and is trending toward sitting out the game. Williams will look to build on last week’s big game vs WSH (6/119/1). Smith has been 60+ in 5/7. Barkley has had 3+ catches in 6/9 this season.
Picks: Williams OVER receptions, OVER yards; Smith OVER yards; Barkley OVER receptions
Anytime Touchdowns
Gibbs – -125
Barkley – -105
Hurts +120
St Brown – +125
Smith – +155
Montgomery – +160
Goedert – +160
Williams – +230
Eagles D +800
Lions D +850
Analysis: I feel like Sunday night could be a game for the Robins, rather than the Batmans: WR2s Jameson Williams and DeVonta Smith. Smith is having a career year to this point, and has connected on deep TD catches in 2/3. Similarly, Williams has 3 scores in his last 4.
Picks: Smith; Gibbs; Goedert; Williams