The Houston Texans (4-5) and Tennessee Titans (1-8) meet Sunday for a Week 11 game at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Texans vs. Titans odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.
The Texans blanked the Titans 26-0 in Week 4 at NRG Stadium in Houston, covering as 7.5-point favorites as the Under (39.5). Houston has won 5 of 6 meetings, while also going 5-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Under is 5-2 in the past 7 meetings. The Titans still lead the all-time series 24-23.
Houston outlasted the Jacksonville Jaguars 36-29 in Week 10, covering as a 1-point favorite as the Over (38) cashed, while the total has gone high at a 3-1-1 clip in the past 5 games. QB Davis Mills, filling in for the injured QB C.J. Stroud, threw for 292 yards and 2 TDs, while running for the game-winning TD. He’ll start for a second straight game on Sunday. RB Woody Marks ran for 63 yards and a TD, while WR Nico Collins had 7 receptions for 136 yards, with TE Dalton Schultz and WR Jayden Higgins scoring TDs.
Tennessee put up a good fight against the LA Chargers prior to the bye, falling 27-20 in the Music City while covering as a 10-point underdog as the Over (44) cashed. The score is a bit deceiving, though, as the Titans had an interception return and punt return in the first quarter for their only TDs. Tennessee has allowed 20 points in all 9 games, and 32.0 points per game in the past 3 outings, all Over results.
Texans at Titans odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 7:01 p.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML): Texans -285 (bet $285 to win $100) | Titans +230 (bet $100 to win $230)Against the spread: Texans -6 (-110) | Titans +6 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 37 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Texans at Titans key injuries
Texans
CB Damon Arnette (ankle) outTE Harrison Bryant (neck, shoulder) outPK Ka’imi Fairbairn (quadricep) outOG Ed Ingram (knee) questionableFB Jakob Johnson (hamstring) questionableS Jalen Pitre (concussion) outTE Cade Stover (foot) questionableQB C.J. Stroud (concussion) out
Titans
LB Arden Key (quadricep) questionableRB Kalel Mullings (ankle) outWR Bryce Oliver (knee) outDE C.J. Ravenell (ankle) questionableWR Calvin Ridley (hamstring) questionableDT Jeffery Simmons (hamstring) questionableFS Xavier Woods (hamstring) outTexans at Titans picks and predictionsPrediction
Titans 22, Texans 18
The TITANS (+230) are worth a roll of the dice for the chance to more than double up.
Call it a gut feeling, but Tennessee is at home, and it is coming off a bye. Meanwhile, Houston is without its regular kicker, and the backup QB starts for a second straight game. Houston is prime for the picking.
If you can’t bring yourself to back TITANS +6 (-110) straight up, taking the points is still a good idea if you’d like a little wiggle room.
The Titans are just 3-6 ATS, so this takes a little bit of a leap of faith, but catching 6 at home against a banged-up team is a lot of points, and too tough to pass up.
OVER 37 (-110) is the lean, but don’t get crazy.
Again, we have a backup QB on one side, and a struggling rookie and sputtering offense on the other side. But, Tennessee manages to make things happen on defense and in special teams, trying to take some of the pressure off of the offense.
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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