The Kansas City Chiefs (6-5) visit the Dallas Cowboys (5-5-1) on Thanksgiving Day. Kickoff Thursday at AT&T Stadium in Dallas, Texas, is for 4:30 p.m. ET (CBS / Paramount+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Chiefs vs. Cowboys odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.

The Chiefs snuck away with a 23-20 victory over the Indianapolis Colts Sunday, failing to cover as 4.5-point home favorites. QB Patrick Mahomes was 29-for-46 for 352 yards, 0 TDs and 1 INT. RB Kareem Hunt rushed 30 times for 104 yards and a score. They’ll get RB Isiah Pacheco (knee) back after he went down Oct. 27 with a knee injury.

The Cowboys upset the Philadelphia Eagles 24-21 Sunday as 3-point home dogs. QB Dak Prescott was 23-for-36 for 354 yards, 2 TDs and 1 INT. WR George Pickens, who is second in the NFL in receiving yards, had 9 catches for 146 yards and a TD. The Dallas defense forced 2 fumbles against the defending champs.

These teams last met Nov. 21, 2021, with KC coming away with a 19-9 home victory as 2.5-point favorites.

Watch the NFL on Fubo!

Chiefs at Cowboys odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 8:29 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Chiefs -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Cowboys +145 (bet $100 to win $145)Against the spread (ATS): Chiefs -3 (-115) | Cowboys +3 (-105)Over/Under (O/U): 52 (O: -110 | U: -110)

WIN YOUR FANTASY FOOTBALL LEAGUE! The Huddle has been turning players like you into winners for over 25 years. This season, it’s your turn. Custom fantasy football rankings, sleepers and tools are just a click away. Subscribe now!

TNF: Best props bets

Chiefs at Cowboys key injuries

Chiefs

TE Noah Gray (concussion) outOG Trey Smith (ankle) out

Cowboys

OT Tyler Guyton (ankle) outChiefs at Cowboys picks and predictionsPrediction

Chiefs 24, Cowboys 21

Plain and simple – the Chiefs can’t afford a loss here if they hope to make it into the playoffs. However, they’re too expensive at -175.

Give me PATRICK MAHOMES OVER 20.5 RUSHING YARDS (-115). He has been sacked 3+ times in 4 straight games and has been running for his life. The Chiefs are without their left guard, and I look for him to run enough to hit this number.

This 3-point spread is right on the money. Let’s go with CHIEFS ALTERNATE SPREAD -2.5 (-140).

The Cowboys are 7-3 O/U in their last 10, and the Chiefs are 2-8. I look for a defensive struggle type of game, and this total is too high for me.

Take UNDER 52 (-110).

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @rdodsonsports on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Access more NFL coverage:

TheHuddle Fantasy Football | BearsWire | BengalsWire | BillsWire | BroncosWire | BrownsWire | BucsWire | CardsWire | ChargersWire | ChiefsWire | ColtsWire | CommandersWire | CowboysWire | DolphinsWire | EaglesWire | FalconsWire | GiantsWire | JaguarsWire | JetsWire | LionsWire | NinersWire | PackersWire | PanthersWire | PatriotsWire | RaidersWire | RamsWire | RavensWire | SaintsWire | SeahawksWire | SteelersWire | TexansWire | TitansWire | VikingsWire | DraftWire | TouchdownWire | ListWire