Everything about this Houston team provides a recipe for low-scoring affairs, so my Texans vs Colts pick is under 44.5. Unfortunately for the visitors, their incredible defense is not exactly complemented by an overly productive offense. Running back Joe Mixon has been out for the entire season, and the injury-plagued Nick Chubb is a shadow of his former self, so there is little ground game of which to speak. Woody Marks has done his best to fill in, but he is not a serious threat. The Texans, in all likelihood, will also once again be playing with their backup quarterback, Davis Mills. CJ Stroud remains in the NFL’s concussion protocol and is questionable for this weekend. Mills can play mistake-free football, but he isn’t a real threat.
Indianapolis RB Jonathan Taylor is obviously dangerous, but Houston’s defense is also stout against the run. It ranks #5 league wide in rushing defense, giving up just 92.2 yards per contest. Taylor is coming off his worst outing of the season, having been limited to 66 yards from scrimmage (58 on the ground) by Kansas City. As for Jones, he has almost as many interceptions (4) as touchdown passes (5) over the past 3 games. The number is low, so I would proceed with caution — but the under is the play for these 2 teams.
Texans vs Colts prediction: Under 44.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.
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