Neither offense inspires any confidence, so my Dolphins vs Jets prediction is Under 40.5. Tagovailoa has performed better of late, but his touchdown-to-interception ratio for the season is still just 17-to-14. New York defends the pass very well, too, ranking #10 league-wide in that department at 196.1 yards per game allowed on 7.0 yards per attempt allowed. I do have some concerns about the Jets’ poor rushing defense being able to contain Achane. But there is some good news — if the Dolphins do go on a few scoring drives, they will likely be run-heavy treks that use up a lot of clock.

The Jets’ back-and-forth QB carousel between Tyrod Taylor and Justin Fields has swung back in Taylor’s favor, but it doesn’t really matter. Taylor and New York put up 27 points on Atlanta last week, but it was not exactly a sparkling offensive performance. Defense and a kick return that almost went all the way played a role, as the Jets finished with just 269 yards of total offense on a woeful 4.3 yards per play. They had scored 14 points or fewer in 4 of their previous 6 outings. Meanwhile, the losing team in Miami’s last 6 games has scored 6, 10, 6, 13, 13 and 17 points. At least 1 team — and probably both — will struggle again on Sunday.
 
Dolphins vs Jets prediction: Under 40.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 40.

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