These are strange times in Kansas City. Losers of three of their last four games, the Chiefs (6-6) sit not only four games back in the AFC West but also are outside of the top seven in the AFC and thus on the wrong side of the playoff bubble as they get set to host the suddenly hot Houston Texans (7-5) Sunday night. For all intents and purposes, that makes this weekend’s game an elimination game should Patrick Mahomes and co. fail to win.
Kansas City lost on Thanksgiving in Dallas to the Cowboys, 31-28. Mahomes threw for four scores without turning the ball over, but it was not enough to overcome Dak Prescott and the Cowboys. The loss dropped the Chiefs to tenth in the AFC, two games out of the final playoff spot.
Houston has won four in a row and is threatening the Colts and Jaguars in the AFC South. C.J. Stroud and the Texans won at Indianapolis this past weekend 20-16, to pull within one game of first in the division and within one game of the final wild card spot. The Houston defense has been elite allowing more than 19 points just once in the Texans’ last six games.
Sunday at Arrowhead should be fun as the stingy Texans’ defense squares off against Mahomes and a desperate Chiefs’ team.
Lets take a deeper dive into this week’s matchup between the Texans and the Chiefs.
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Game Details and How to watch the Texans vs. Chiefs live SundayDate: Sunday, December 7, 2025Time: 8:20PM ESTSite: GEHA Field at Arrowhead StadiumCity: Kansas City, MONetwork/Streaming: NBC, Peacock
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Game odds for the Texans at the Chiefs
The latest odds as of Wednesday courtesy of DraftKings:
Moneyline: Houston Texans (+150), Kansas City Chiefs (-180)Spread: Chiefs -3.5Total: 41.5 points
This game opened at Chiefs -5.0 with the Game Total set at 43.0.
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Quarterback Matchup for Houston at Kansas City
Texans Starting QB: C.J. Stroud
Last Game: 11/30 at Indianapolis – 22-35, 276yds, 0TDs, 1INT, Sacked 2 times, 1 carry for 0yds rushing
Season: 9GP, 183-277, 1978yds, 11TDs, 6INTs, Sacked 19 times, 30 carries for 189yds rushing
Season:
Chiefs Starting QB: Patrick Mahomes
Last Game: 11/27 at Dallas – 23-34, 261yds, 4TDs, 0INTs, Sacked 3 times, 3 carries for 30yds rushing
Season: 12GP, 285-441, 3238yds, 22TDs, 7INTs, Sacked 27 times, 55 carries for 348yds rushing
Questions surround KC amid ‘unprecedented’ season
Mike Florio and Devin McCourty discuss the Kansas City Chiefs’ future and ask the questions regarding where the team goes from here at 6-6 and fighting for a playoff spot.
Texans at Chiefs team stats, betting trendsThe Chiefs have won 4 of their last 5 games against AFC South teamsThe Chiefs have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 home gamesThe Chiefs’ last 4 home games have stayed UNDER the TotalThe OVER has cashed in just 3 Texans’ games this season (3-8-1)The Texans are 6-6 ATS this seasonTexans Player InjuriesS Jaylen Reed (arm) is listed as doubtful for Sunday’s gameLB Jamal Hill (hamstring) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s gameCB Ajani Carter (hamstring) was placed on IR and is OUT for Sunday’s game
Chiefs Player InjuriesLT Josh Simmons (wrist) has been declared OUT for Sunday’s gameTE Noah Grey (concussion) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s gameRT Jawaan Taylor (elbow) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s gameRG Trey Smith (ankle) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s gameS Bryan Cook (ankle) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s gameCB Chris Roland-Wallace (back) is listed as questionable for Sunday’s gameRotoworld Best Bets
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NFL calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, stadium information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Best bets our model is projecting for this week’s game between the Texans and the ChiefsMoneyline: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.Spread: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Kansas City Chiefs at -3.5.Total: Rotoworld Bet is recommending a play on the UNDER on the Game Total of 41.5.
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