Chiefs vs. Texans prediction, pick, odds for Sunday's NFL Week 14 game

Chiefs vs. Texans odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 9:21 p.m.

Moneyline (ML): Kansas City -185 (Bet $185 to win $100) | Houston +154 (Bet $100 to win $154)Against the spread (ATS): Kansas City -3.5 (-102) | Houston +3.5 (-118)Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Chiefs vs. Texans betting tips preview

The Houston Texans (7-5) visit the Kansas City Chiefs (6-6) on Sunday, December 7, 2025 at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium and will aim to extend a four-game winning streak. Here are best bets recommendations.

The Chiefs last played against the Dallas Cowboys, and they fell short 31-28. The Texans picked up a 20-16 win last time out against the Colts. Patrick Mahomes finished with 261 yards on 23-34 passing (67.6%) in the Chiefs’ last game, adding four touchdowns, plus three rushing attempts for 30 yards. Kareem Hunt rushed for 58 yards on 14 attempts. He also hauled in one reception for 22 yards Rashee Rice earned 92 yards on eight receptions with two scores.

In the Texans’ last game, C.J. Stroud threw for 276 yards on 22-35 passing (62.9%) while throwing one interception. Woody Marks ran for 64 yards on 19 attempts. Nico Collins earned 98 yards on five receptions.

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Chiefs vs. Texans key injuriesChiefsNo players are on the injury report as of 9:21 p.m. ET on Dec. 4.TexansNo players are on the injury report as of 9:21 p.m. ET on Dec. 4.Chiefs vs. Texans prediction

Texans 22, Chiefs 19

Moneyline pick: Texans +154The Chiefs have a 64.9% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.Kansas City has put together a 5-5 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 50% of those games).The Chiefs have a 4-3 record (winning 57.1% of their games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -185 or shorter.Houston has been an underdog in five games this season and won two (40%) of those contests.The Texans have played as an underdog of +154 or more once this season and won that game.Pick ATS: Texans (+3.5)So far this season, Kansas City has put together a 5-7-0 record against the spread.The Chiefs have been favored by 3.5 points or more seven times this season and are 3-4 ATS in those games.Houston has six wins against the spread in 12 games this year.The Texans have been underdogs by 3.5 points or more once this year and covered the spread.Pick OU: Over (41.5)Chiefs games this season have gone over this contest’s total of 41.5 points seven times.The Texans have played four games this season that finished with a combined score over 41.5 points.These two teams average a combined 47.3 points per game, 5.8 more points than this matchup’s over/under.These two teams together give up 35.8 points per game, 5.7 fewer than this matchup’s over/under.

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Chiefs vs. Texans prediction, pick, odds for Sunday’s NFL Week 14 game

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