NFL Betting Preview: Texans vs Chiefs
The Houston Texans battle the Kansas City Chiefs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 17:20 on Sunday, December 7.
Chiefs Against the Spread Look the Value Pick
There’s a generous line of -3.5 when it comes to the Chiefs when they clash with the Texans. The -112 that they cover the spread has plenty of juice and our prediction is it will happen.
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5 of Last 6 H2H Matchups Have Been Chiefs Wins
Houston Texans have won their previous four games. A 20-16 triumph recently occurred on the road at Lucas Oil Stadium when playing Indianapolis Colts. The Texans moved the ball for 364 yards, breaking down to 256 passing and 108 rushing yards. They posted 24 first downs and crossed the goal line twice.
Kansas City Chiefs have won their last five home games. Most recently, they lost 31-28 on the road at AT&T Stadium against Dallas Cowboys. The Chiefs put up 362 yards, split between 243 passing and 119 rushing yards. They produced 19 first downs and crossed the goal line 4 times.
Head-to-Head Statistics
These two teams last met at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, with the Chiefs claiming the win. Beating the Texans by a 23-14 scoreline. In the past 6 games between the teams, the Chiefs have won five.
Quarterbacks
C.J. Stroud
Patrick Mahomes
Texans vs Chiefs Prediction & Picks
Gear up for Texans vs Chiefs with our comprehensive betting guide, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, top player props and a hand-picked bet builder.
Game Prediction
The Chiefs are capable of covering the -3.5 line. We’re confident of a strong showing in this NFL showdown and a wager against the spread is the best play at -112.
Tracking injury updates is a big part of our analysis and team news plays a major role in shaping our NFL predictions. We combine this with recent form and the most important stats to get a complete picture.
Key Texans vs Chiefs stats:
The -3.5 line has been covered by Chiefs in 4 of their last 5 games at home.The -3.5 line has been covered by Chiefs in 4 of their last 6 games at home this season.The -3.5 line has been covered by Chiefs in 5 consecutive games against Texans.Chiefs -3.5 Probability
According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.9% chance of winning. Our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
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Our Game Prediction
Chiefs -3.5 @ -112
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Published 23:25, 05 December 2025
Player Prop Picks
The odds for C.J. Stroud (Texans) to finish with fewer than 232.5 passing yards stand at -114. Several factors suggest he will fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, making this an appealing wager.
Latest C.J. Stroud Player Prop Odds
Touchdown
Passing Yards
Rushing Yards
You can back Kareem Hunt (Texans) at -114 to end with fewer than 32.5 rushing yards. If you agree with our verdict that the line is too high, this Player Rushing Yards wager is worth backing.
Latest Kareem Hunt Player Prop Odds
Touchdown
Rushing Yards
Correct Score Prediction
There’s the chance to land huge odds when it comes to the Chiefs winning on the correct score lines. We’ll try a 28-21 triumph in their favor and this should be in the right ball park.
Texans vs Chiefs Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
Books Think Chiefs Likeliest to Win
Kansas City Chiefs are regarded as having a 67% chance of winning this game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -200. Houston Texans are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +168.
The spread currently stands at 3.5 and the total points line is 41.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. There’s the chance to back Under 41.5 at -104.
Whether you are wagering pre-game or in-game on the National Football League, the best betting apps offer a wide range of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless and it’s great to have so many different options.
Moneyline
Point Spread
Total Points
Rashee Rice Favorite to Score First TD
Rashee Rice can be backed to score a TD at any stage at +125. There is the opportunity to back the market leader to grab the first touchdown at +650.
Touchdown
Rashee Rice (Chiefs)
Kareem Hunt (Chiefs)
Woody Marks (Texans)
Nico Collins (Texans)
Receiving Yards
Nico Collins (Texans)
Rashee Rice (Chiefs)
Travis Kelce (Chiefs)
Dalton Schultz (Texans)
Rushing Yards
Woody Marks (Texans)
Kareem Hunt (Chiefs)
Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)
Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)
Nick Chubb (Texans)
C.J. Stroud (Texans)
Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)
Passing Yards
Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)
C.J. Stroud (Texans)
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Can Chiefs Stay Hot at Home?
The Chiefs have reeled off five consecutive victories at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. They have gone 9-1 across their last 10 home games, averaging 26.70 points scored and 16.30 points allowed.
The Texans have five wins and five losses in the last 10 games away from home, posting 19.70 points per contest while yielding 18.10.
The Chiefs beat the Texans 23-14 in their most recent meeting at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. In the past 5 head-to-head matchups at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, the Chiefs have secured four wins, while the Texans have one victory.
Chiefs Home Stats
9-1
43.00
26.70
16.30
5
5
Texans Away Stats
5-5
37.80
19.70
18.10
4
6
W-L = Wins-Losses
P = Avg. Points
PF = Avg. Points For
PA = Avg. Points Against
O41.5 = Games Over 41.5 Points
U41.5 = Games Under 41.5 Points
Team Stats
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Houston Texans Stats
Kansas City Chiefs Stats
7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games
+3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
+3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road
-3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
-3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games
Game Totals: An average of 39.90 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 37.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 41.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
Over 41.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 23.50 pts and allowed 16.40 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 19.70 pts and allowed 18.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road
Game Totals: An average of 45.20 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 43.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
Over 41.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
Over 41.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 26.70 pts and allowed 18.50 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 26.70 pts and allowed 16.30 pts in the last 10 home games
Last 10 Games
Total Yards: Gained 339.00 Yds. Allowed 253.10 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 109.40 Yds. Allowed 85.90 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 229.60 Yds. Allowed 167.30 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.20. Allowed 14.90
Total Turnovers: Committed 0.80. Committed by opponents 1.70
Total Penalties: Committed 6.90. Committed by opponents 7.10
Penalty Yards: Lost 58.90 Yds. Gained 55.70 Yds
Last 10 Games
Total Yards: Gained 385.70 Yds. Allowed 307.00 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 120.10 Yds. Allowed 99.90 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 265.60 Yds. Allowed 207.10 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.10 TD. Allowed 2.00 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 24.10. Allowed 16.50
Total Turnovers: Committed 0.70. Committed by opponents 1.00
Total Penalties: Committed 7.00. Committed by opponents 6.40
Penalty Yards: Lost 63.70 Yds. Gained 47.00 Yds
Last 10 Games on the Road
Total Yards: Gained 323.30 Yds. Allowed 289.40 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 115.50 Yds. Allowed 82.00 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 207.80 Yds. Allowed 207.40 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.60. Allowed 16.90
Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.20
Total Penalties: Committed 6.90. Committed by opponents 6.80
Penalty Yards: Lost 60.50 Yds. Gained 51.40 Yds
Last 10 Home Games
Total Yards: Gained 364.40 Yds. Allowed 279.20 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 120.40 Yds. Allowed 101.90 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 244.00 Yds. Allowed 177.30 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.90 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 24.30. Allowed 15.90
Total Turnovers: Committed 0.60. Committed by opponents 0.70
Total Penalties: Committed 5.10. Committed by opponents 6.50
Penalty Yards: Lost 44.30 Yds. Gained 54.30 Yds