The Philadelphia Eagles (8-4) head to SoFi Stadium for a Monday Night Football matchup with the Los Angeles Chargers (8-4), looking to snap their two-game losing streak. The Chargers aim to strengthen their hold on a playoff spot in the suddenly crowded AFC postseason picture. With the action set to close NFL Week 14, DraftKings posted a solid set of player props, including for Eagles star Saquon Barkley.
DraftKings Featured Player Prop: Saquon Barkley Anytime TD (+105)
DraftKings offers odds of +105 on Saquon Barkley to score a touchdown anytime against the Chargers on Monday night.
Barkley enters this contest as the focal point of the Eagles’ rushing attack, projected for 72 yards rushing.Dimers’ predictive model gives Barkley a massive 43.7% probability of scoring, the second highest of any player in this game.The Chargers’ defense has surrendered 11 rushing touchdowns to running backs this season, tied for ninth-most in the league.
Note: Odds in this article are correct at time of publication and subject to change.
Expert Prediction: Eagles vs. Chargers
Dimers’ 10,000-simulation model projects a tight matchup but gives Philadelphia the edge. The simulations land on a 22–20 Eagles win, supported by a 58 percent win probability.
Los Angeles keeps things close behind Justin Herbert’s efficiency, yet the Eagles’ balance on both sides of the ball gives them the narrow advantage late.
Best Bet: Eagles ML
With Philadelphia holding the higher win probability and slightly more reliable late-game metrics, Eagles Moneyline profiles as the strongest betting angle from the model.
NFL Player Props: Anytime Touchdown ProbabilitiesPlayerTeamAnytime TD %Jalen HurtsEagles45.7%Saquon BarkleyEagles43.7%A.J. BrownEagles36.3%DeVonta SmithEagles29.2%Dallas GoedertEagles24.8%Omarion HamptonChargers33.9%Ladd McConkeyChargers31.0%Quentin JohnstonChargers28.6%Kimani VidalChargers27.6%Keenan AllenChargers25.5%Projected Player Stats
Quarterbacks
TeamPlayerProjected YardsEaglesJalen Hurts201ChargersJustin Herbert221
Top Rushing Options
TeamPlayerTD %Projected YardsEaglesSaquon Barkley44%72EaglesJalen Hurts46%34ChargersOmarion Hampton34%49ChargersKimani Vidal28%40
Top Receiving Options
TeamPlayerTD %Projected YardsEaglesA.J. Brown36%65EaglesDeVonta Smith29%60EaglesDallas Goedert25%35ChargersLadd McConkey31%56ChargersKeenan Allen25%42ChargersA. Gadsden23%41Conclusion: Eagles vs. Chargers
The analytics point to another close finish for Philadelphia, with the Eagles’ red-zone efficiency and defensive pressure giving them the slightest edge. Los Angeles has enough playmakers to keep this competitive, but the seemingly safer side of the projection lands on Eagles ML and a modest scoring environment, right in line with Dimers’ 22–20 forecast.
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