The Philadelphia Eagles have lost back-to-back games, and there are rumblings of a 2024-esque collapse, which is a frightening thought. However, we are not yet near that level. In fact, the Eagles are road favorites against an AFC playoff team on Monday night.

The Eagles are in a comfortable position. Even if they lose, they’ll drop to 8-5 and still have a 94% chance to make the playoffs. They’d remain 1.5 games above Dallas with four games remaining.

It’s a more important game for the Chargers. If they lose, they’ll drop to 8-5 and straddle the AFC wild-card cut-line with Indianapolis and Houston. Their playoff probability drops to 50%. However, if they pull off the victory, their playoff chances improve to 74%. That’s a massive swing.

How are we betting this key Monday Night Football game?

Eagles vs. Chargers predictions and best betsPhiladelphia Eagles moneyline (-135 odds at DraftKings)Under 41.5 total points (-105 odds at FanDuel)Dallas Goedert anytime touchdown (+333 odds at BetMGM)

*Note: Odds are based on the best value our experts find as of publication; check lines closer to game time to ensure you get the best odds.

The Chargers have one victory over a team with a winning record since Week 3, and that was against the plummeting Pittsburgh Steelers. This is a game that, on paper, lines up well for Philadelphia.

First and foremost, Chargers QB Justin Herbert looks like he will play through an injury to his non-throwing hand. After returning last week, Herbert did not attempt to run a single time. If he’s forced to stay in the pocket, it makes him a sitting duck for an Eagles’ pass-rush against a Chargers’ protection unit that ranks 25th.

On the defensive side, the Chargers like to play zone defense, which means the Eagles should have some success with the rushing attack. The Chargers rank in the bottom 10 in a lot of key defensive metrics against the rush.

Longer, sustained drives should benefit the Eagles, though they might have fewer big plays to their receivers against the Chargers’ two-high look. This creates an opportunity for Dallas Goedert, who sees significantly more targets against zone defenses.

The Chargers rank last in defensive DVOA against the tight-end position and allowed two scores to Brock Bowers last week, so at this price, we like Goedert to find paydirt.

The Eagles offense averaged 15.5 points per game in November, so it’s hard to trust them, but we like them to come out on the right side of a low-scoring affair.

Eagles vs. Chargers moneyline odds analysisWhy Philadelphia could win as the favorite

Best odds: -135 at DraftKings Sportsbook

On paper, this matchup favors the Eagles. Their defense should get pressure on Justin Herbert, who might be limited due to the injury to his left hand. He’s certainly going to want to avoid getting hit at the very least, which will limit his running.

On the other side of the football, the Chargers let teams run on them. Even though both Saquon Barkley and Jalen Hurts are averaging under four yards per carry, running all over teams won them a Super Bowl last season.

Why Los Angeles can win as the underdog

Best odds: +120 at BetMGM Sportsbook

The Eagles have lost back-to-back games and are just a few years away from a major meltdown late in the 2023-24 season. This is a team that has appeared broken offensively for most of the season, and they’re averaging just over 15 points per game over the last month. Even with one functioning hand, Herbert should be able to get there.

The Chargers should be motivated on their home field, as a win here puts their playoff probability at 74%. A loss turns their playoff odds into a coin flip.

If you purchase a product or register for an account through a link on our site, we may receive compensation. By using this site, you consent to our User Agreement and agree that your clicks, interactions, and personal information may be collected, recorded, and/or stored by us and social media and other third-party partners in accordance with our Privacy Policy.