The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-6) host their division rivals, the Atlanta Falcons (4-9), in a key NFC contest on Thursday Night Football. The Bucs find themselves mired in a 1-4 stretch with multiple injury concerns, putting the NFC South crown up for grabs. The Falcons, meanwhile, have struggled most of the season and remain without their starting quarterback, Michael Penix Jr. With all of the playoff implications riding on this Thursday Night Football battle, DraftKings posted a set of Anytime TD prop odds, including for Bucs playmakers like Bucky Irving.

DraftKings Featured Prop: Bucky Irving Anytime TD (+110)

DraftKings offers odds of +110 on Bucky Irving to score a touchdown anytime against the Falcons on Thursday.

Irving enters this ballgame with four touchdowns in his six games played this season, including one in each of his last three appearances.Dimers’ predictive model gives Irving a 37.6% probability of scoring, making this prop a solid value compared to the implied odds.The Falcons’ defense has surrendered 12 touchdowns to running backs this season, including four receiving scores, second-most in the league.

Note: Odds in this article are correct at time of publication and subject to change.

Expert Prediction: Falcons vs. Buccaneers

Dimers’ 10,000-simulation model projects a Buccaneers 25–20 win. Tampa Bay holds a 68% win probability, while Atlanta sits at 32%. Even though the Bucs have struggled of late, playing at home against as division rival should give the Bucs a necessary leg up in this one.

Best Bet: Buccaneers -4.5

Tampa Bay’s offense shows stronger touchdown distribution and more consistent projected efficiency, while the simulations already lean their direction.

NFL Player Props: Touchdown ScorersPlayerTeamAnytime TD ProbabilityFirst TD ProbabilityBijan RobinsonFalcons54.1%11.6%Drake LondonFalcons43.7%8.5%Tyler AllgeierFalcons42.0%8.1%Mike EvansBuccaneers45.0%11.1%Bucky IrvingBuccaneers37.6%8.8%Emeka EgbukaBuccaneers34.5%7.9%Projected Player Stats

Projected Yardage Leaders

PositionFalconsBuccaneersQBKirk Cousins –
218 ydsBaker Mayfield –
226 ydsRBBijan Robinson –
77 ydsBucky Irving –
67 ydsWR/TEDrake London –
61 ydsMike Evans –
52 ydsConclusion: Buccaneers vs. Falcons on TNF

The simulations lean firmly toward Tampa Bay behind slightly better offensive balance and stronger scoring probabilities across multiple players. Atlanta has playmakers, but Tampa Bay’s defensive edge and higher projected scoring efficiency point toward the Bucs covering the number. Expect a competitive game early, but the Buccaneers’ consistency gives them the advantage late.

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