Panthers vs Saints Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets: NFL, Week 15

The Panthers are -2.5 point favorites vs the Saints

Total (Over/Under): 40.5 points

Watch this game on FOX

The Carolina Panthers (7-6-0) visit Caesars Superdome to take on the New Orleans Saints (3-10-0) on Dec. 14. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in New Orleans, LA.

The Panthers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-118).

The Panthers vs. Saints Over/Under is 40.5 total points for the game.

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Panthers vs. Saints Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)MoneylinePanthers-2.5 -11840.5 -110-145Saints +2.5 -10240.5 -110120

Panthers vs. Saints Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Panthers will win this game with 57.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Panthers vs Saints Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Saints will cover the spread with 54.3% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Panthers players this game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Panthers Player Prop Bets Today

Bryce Young has hit the Completions Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.85 Units / 62% ROI)

Bryce Young has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 49% ROI)

Xavier Legette has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.60 Units / 48% ROI)

Ja’Tavion Sanders has hit the Longest Reception Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 66% ROI)

Chuba Hubbard has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+5.80 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Saints players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Saints Player Prop Best Bets Today

Chris Olave has hit the Receptions Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 79% ROI)

Devin Neal has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)

Foster Moreau has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 60% ROI)

Taysom Hill has hit the Longest Rush Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.70 Units / 56% ROI)

Chris Olave has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 55% ROI)

Panthers Best Bets:

The Carolina Panthers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 20 games (+7.97 Units / 34% ROI)

The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+7.23 Units / 39% ROI)

The Carolina Panthers have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 21% ROI)

The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.35 Units / 23% ROI)

The Carolina Panthers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 17 games (+4.15 Units / 22% ROI)

Saints Best Bets:

The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 31% ROI)

The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+5.04 Units / 29% ROI)

The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.75 Units / 18% ROI)

The New Orleans Saints have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.40 Units / 29% ROI)

The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+2.65 Units / 15% ROI)

Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Panthers are 8-5 (+2.45 Units / 16.9% ROI).

Panthers are 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.7 Units / 66.9% ROI

Panthers are 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI

Panthers are 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / ROI

Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Saints are 5-8 (-3.85 Units / -26.83% ROI).

Saints are 3-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -30.26% ROI

Saints are 4-9 when betting the Over for -5.9 Units / -41.26% ROI

Saints are 9-4 when betting the Under for +4.6 Units / 32.17% ROI

Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints

The Saints have gone three and out 13 times in the 1st quarter this season — most in NFL.

The Saints have gone three and out on 37% of their drives in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

The Saints have averaged -0.32 epa per play on play action passes this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.07.

The Saints have run successful plays on 35% of pass attempts on play action passes this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 51%.

New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers

The Panthers have run successful plays on 16% of rush attempts on motion plays since Week 11 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Panthers have averaged -1.31 epa per play against tight coverage since Week 11 — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.59.

The Panthers have gone three and out on 3% of their drives in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Panthers have converted late downs on 11 of 40 plays (28%) in short yardage situations since Week 11 — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

Additional Matchup Notes for Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans Saints