Here is the Jacksonville Jaguars’ win probabilities for every game on the 2025 schedule.

ESPN has released its 2025 projections, including the win probability for the Jacksonville Jaguars in all 17 regular-season games.

So, in how many of those matchups do the Jaguars have a favorable win probability?

After an offseason full of change for the Jaguars, it feels like Jacksonville is on the right path heading into the 2025 season. The leadership group of Tony Boselli, James Gladstone, and Liam Coen has provided stability and a clear direction moving forward.

On both offense and defense, play-style and multiplicity, to keep opponents guessing and to maximize the skill sets the Jaguars have on the roster, are points of emphasis. Not to mention that the roster has quickly been reshaped as well.

However, when it comes to how much progress the Jaguars can make this season, that’s difficult to gauge until we see this team on the football field. So, putting together record predictions or determining the Jaguars’ win probability isn’t easy, given that we still haven’t seen this new version of this team play.

Here is the Jaguars win probabilities for every 2025 game

Week 1: vs. Carolina Panthers (55%)

Week 2: at Cincinnati Bengals (29%)

Week 3: vs Houston Texans (36%)

Week 4: at San Francisco 49ers (41%)

Week 5: vs Kansas City Chiefs (32%)

Week 6: vs Seattle Seahawks (45%)

Week 7: vs. LA Rams – London, England (33%)

Week 8: Bye Week

Week 9: at Las Vegas Raiders (48%)

Week 10: at Houston Texans (29%)

Week 11: vs. LA Chargers (42%)

Week 12: at Arizona Cardinals (36%)

Week 13: at Tennessee Titans (50%)

Week 14: vs Indianapolis Colts (46%)

Week 15: vs New York Jets (54%)

Week 16: at Denver Broncos (29%)

Week 17: at Indianapolis Colts (38%)

Week 18: vs Tennessee Titans (58%)