The Chicago Bears may not have had a winning weekend against the Green Bay Packers, but that doesn’t mean yours truly didn’t! Our winning ways returned this past weekend and we look to continue it on the frozen tundra of Soldier Field on Sunday against the Cleveland Browns.
I think the weather absolutely plays a part in this game and the plays will absolutely take that into consideration. Last week we went 2-1, putting our record on the season at 25-14, we were just a handful of yards from Colston Loveland of returning to the coveted undefeated week.
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Here’s our three plays for this Sunday’s game against Cleveland.
D’Andre Swift OVER 53.5 Rushing Yards -114
We are going to start here. The Tennessee Titans ran for 184 yards against the Browns last week. 184 yards! Myles Garrett likes to line up wide to utilize his speed as a pass rusher, and the Titans said, “Don’t mind if I do.” They ran at Garrett and used the space to get some big running lanes for Tony Pollard.
Swift has gone over 53.5 in 6 of his last 8 games, and with the cold weather, how can Ben Johnson not plan to utilize this offensive line and get the ground game going? I love Swift to over this number yet again.
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Kyle Monangai OVER 52.5 Rushing Yards -114
It’s never a good idea to pick running backs from the same team to both go over rushing yards. I say that, but at the same time, I think there’s a strong chance the Bears run the ball frequently, and each of these ball carriers gets 14 to 18 carries. Monangai has gone over this number in each of his last two games, and he’s becoming an outstanding between-the-tackles runner and I believe Ben Johnson will hammer Monangai into the Browns defenders in the cold. I like this play even more than Swift.
Harold Fannin OVER 47.5 Receiving Yards -114
Every once in awhile, we give you a bet for the opponents when we see a number that looks askew, and this Fannin number certainly does. There are several factors that contribute to this. First of all, David Njoku is out. Fannin sees plenty of targets, but that number should jump even more this week. Two, Fannin’s average for the season is 47.6 yards per game, so the sportsbooks are just giving you his season average as the number. Fannin is also averaging 65.7 yards per game since Shedeur Sanders has been starting at quarterback.
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Due to injuries, Quinshon Judkins is the only viable running back the Browns will have. Njoku is out. The Browns offensive line is almost all hurt which means Sanders is going to want to get the ball out quickly and that means a lot of stuff headed towards the tight end. This number feels wildly low and I think he goes well over this number.
BONUS BET: Shedeur Sanders to throw an interception YES -188
Not an official bet because the juice is way too far over here to be considered a 50-50 bet. But Dennis Allen gives young quarterbacks problems. This is only Shedeur’s fourth career start. The Bears love to make plays on the ball. I expect the Bears to be in front in the second half, and I think the Browns are going to have to pass more than they want in the conditions. I think Sanders definitely turns the ball over. If you don’t like betting something that’s darn near -200, I would suggest parlaying this Sanders bet with one or two of the other suggested bets above to give yourself an even stronger bet. Parlaying a Sanders INT with any of those other bets should get you odds up near +180.