Chargers at Chiefs odds, picks and predictions

The LA Chargers (9-4) visit the Kansas City Chiefs (6-7) Sunday for a 1 p.m. ET (CBS) at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Chargers vs. Chiefs odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.

Los Angeles has won back-to-back games and 5 of its last 6 after taking down the Philadelphia Eagles 22-19 in overtime on Monday night, covering as a 1-point home underdog with the Under (42) narrowly hitting. QB Justin Herbert threw for 139 yards with a touchdown and an interception, while also leading the team on the ground with 66 yards on 10 attempts. K Cameron Dicker went 5 for 5, scoring 16 of the Chargers’ 22 points with both the game-tying field goal with 8 seconds remaining in the fourth quarter and the game-winning field goal in overtime.

Kansas City has dropped back-to-back games and 4 of its last 5 after falling 20-10 against the Houston Texans last week and failing to cover as a 4.5-point home favorite with the Under (42) hitting. QB Patrick Mahomes threw for 160 yards but with 3 INTs while leading the Chiefs on the ground with 59 yards on 7 attempts. The Chiefs never led in the losing effort.

The Chargers took down the Chiefs 27-21 in Week 1 of the season, with the Chargers covering as 3-point home underdogs at a neutral site in Sao Paulo, Brazil, and the Over (46.5) hitting.

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Chargers at Chiefs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 1:30 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Chargers +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Chiefs -250 (bet $250 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Chargers +5.5 (-110) | Chiefs -5.5 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 41 (O: -110 | U: -110)Chargers at Chiefs key injuries

Chargers

WR Derius Davis (ankle) outLB Troy Dye (hip) questionableWR Quentin Johnston (groin) questionableS Elijah Molden (hamstring) doubtfulT Trey Pipkins (ankle) doubtful

Chiefs

WR Marquise Brown (personal) outCB Trent McDuffie (knee) questionableT Wanya Morris (knee) outG Trey Smith (ankle) outT Jawaan Taylor (triceps, knee) outChargers at Chiefs picks and predictionsPrediction

Chargers 27, Chiefs 17

BET CHARGERS (+200).

The Chiefs have dropped 4 of their last 5 games, all as favorites (going 0-5 ATS in that time), including their previous 2 games at home. Mahomes has looked out of sorts while the defense has allowed at least 20 points in each of the 5 games.

The Chargers are hitting stride headed into the final stretch of the season, winning 5 of their last 6 and 2 of their last 3 on the road. They have scored at least 25 points in 4 of their last 6 games.

PASS.

If you are not as confident in the Chargers to win outright on the road, there is great value on their +5.5 (-110) spread.

BET OVER 41 (-110).

The Chargers have scored 24 or more points in 6 of their last 8, while allowing 19 or more in 2 of their last 3 and in 7 of their previous 10. Herbert’s hand injury did not seem to affect his performance last week and should not play much of a role this week.

The Chiefs have scored at least 23 points in 2 of their last 3 games and have scored at least 21 points in 10 of their 13 games this season.

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Chargers at Chiefs odds, picks and predictions

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