Vikings at Cowboys best prop bests in Week 15

The Minnesota Vikings (5-8) and the Dallas Cowboys (6-6-1) meet for Sunday Night Football at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC / Peacock). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s Vikings vs. Cowboys odds and tab the 5 best prop bets to win among SportsbookWire’s expert NFL picks and predictions for Week 14.

The Vikings posted a 31-0 shutout victory over the Washington Commanders last Sunday, turning things around after a 26-0 loss in Seattle in the week prior. That halted a 4-game loss and non-cover streak. The Under has cashed in 5 straight outings.

The Minnesota offense welcomed back QB J.J. McCarthy from injury last week, and he threw for 163 yards and 3 TDs, including 2 to TE Josh Oliver. RB Jordan Mason also rushed for 52 yards and a score, while RB Aaron Jones rushed for 76 yards.

The Cowboys suffered a 44-30 loss at the Detroit Lions last Thursday night as a 4-point underdog as the Over (55) cashed. QB Dak Prescott threw for 376 yards and a TD, but he also tossed 2 INTs. RB Javonte Williams ran for 67 yards and a score, while WR CeeDee Lamb had 6 grabs for 121 yards, and WR Ryan Flournoy had 9 receptions for 115 yards and a TD, his second 100-yard game of the season.

That loss to the Lions halted a 3-game win and cover streak. The Over has cashed in 3 of the past 4 games for Dallas, while going 8-2 across the previous 10 outings.

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SNF: Odds, picks, predictions

Best Vikings at Cowboys prop bets

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:21 a.m. ET

Vikings QB J.J. McCarthy OVER 199.5 PASSING YARDS (-115); OVER 1.5 PASSING TOUCHDOWNS (+150)

The Dallas passing defense has been horrific this season, allowing 3,543 passing yards, 29 touchdowns and just 5 takeaways via interception. The Cowboys have also allowed 7.9 yards per passing attempt, while teams are completing passes at a 68.5% rate against them.

McCarthy streaks in with 3 TD passes last week against the Washington Commanders, another NFC East team with a leaky pass defense. He has 2 or more TD passes in 3 of his 6 games where he has played the entire game, and 2 of those 3 multi-TD games have come on the road.

McCarthy isn’t likely to go downfield for giant passing yardage totals, but he should be able to crack 200 yards against the very giving Cowboys.

Vikings WR Justin Jefferson OVER 61.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115)

For his first few years in the NFL, and, heck, even last season, if Jefferson had a target yardage total this low, people would be exchanging bottles, checking the couch cushions and car ashtray for spare coins, and just looking to sink every cent they have to go Over on Jefferson. In the past, he has been Bitcoin or Ethereum, but this season he has been Shiba Inu or Dogecoin.

This season, things have been challenging. Jefferson’s skills are still there, but the erratic quarterback play in the Twin Cities, from McCarthy to Carson Wentz to, uhh, the Max Brosmer experiment has hamstrung Jefferson. He hasn’t been able to develop any rapport with any of the QBs.

Here’s to hoping facing the awful Cowboys pass defense will finally get Jefferson free for some big yardage. But, if you’re going on stats, and feeling overconfidence, just know the Commanders give up more passing yards per attempts than any other team, and Jefferson had just 2 catches for 11 yards on 4 targets last week against Washington. He needs an A.J. Brown outburst, so the Vikings try to get him the ball more. However, Jefferson just isn’t that kind of a guy.

Vikings RB Jordan Mason ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN (+220)

Mason split carries with Jones last week, but he had the red-zone TD run against the Commanders last week, rushing 11 times for 52 yards, or 4.7 yards per carry.

Mason’s carry total was his highest since running 15 times with Jones on the shelf against the Philadelphia Eagles Oct. 19. In the past 6 games in which Mason has had double-digit carries, he has scored in 4 of those games. If he gets into a groove early on, you’ll know if this prop is going to cash, or if you’re in trouble. I like the chances to double up.

Cowboys PK Brandon Aubrey OVER 8.5 POINTS (-140)

You know what the fifth prop section is all about. Yep, it’s kickers.

Aubrey, the former Notre Dame kicker, will not opt out of playing the rest of the games, although like the Fighting Irish, he might not go to the playoffs with the Cowboys, either. He has 11 or more points in the past 2 games, totaling 8 field goal and just 3 extra points. The Cowboys offense could bog down in the red zone again this week against a decent Vikings D, leading to more field-goal chances, and therefore more points.

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Vikings at Cowboys best prop bests in Week 15

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