The Las Vegas Raiders (2-11) and the Philadelphia Eagles (8-5) meet Sunday in Week 15 at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Raiders vs. Eagles odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.

Las Vegas dropped its seventh straight game in Week 14, falling 24-17 to the Denver Broncos. The Raiders covered as 7.5-point home underdogs, with the Over (40.5) cashing. QB Geno Smith threw for 116 yards and a touchdown before exiting in the third quarter with injuries to his right hand and shoulder, forcing Kenny Pickett into action. Rookie RB Ashton Jeanty continued to struggle, finishing with 30 rushing yards on 10 carries.

The Eagles took their third straight loss Monday night in Week 14, falling 22-19 in overtime to the Los Angeles Chargers. Philadelphia failed to cover as a 1-point road favorite, and the Under (42) cashed. QB Jalen Hurts threw 4 interceptions, including the decisive pick in overtime. RB Saquon Barkley was a bright spot, rushing for 122 yards, including a 52-yard touchdown run. WR A.J. Brown added 6 catches for 100 yards.

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Raiders at Eagles odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 3:15 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Raiders +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | Eagles -800 (bet $800 to win $100)Against the spread (ATS): Raiders +12 (-110) | Eagles -12 (-110)Over/Under (O/U): 38.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)Raiders at Eagles key injuries

Raiders

WR Alex Bachman (thumb) outS Jeremy Chinn (back) questionableOL Jordan Meredith (foot) questionableLT Kolton Miller (ankle) outQB Geno Smith (right shoulder/back) outTE Ian Thomas (calf) questionable

Eagles

DT Jalen Carter (shoulders) outRT Lane Johnson (foot) outOT Cameron Williams (shoulder) questionableRaiders at Eagles picks and predictionsPrediction

Eagles 17, Raiders 10

PASS.

I just don’t trust the Eagles offense which is why I’m taking my wager to the spread.

Raiders +12 (-110)

The Eagles are desperate to stop a 3-game slide, but asking them to win by margin right now feels like a stretch. Philadelphia’s offense has sputtered since the Week 9 bye, failing to reach 22 points in 5 straight games and committing costly turnovers in tight spots. Even in last week’s overtime loss to the Chargers, the production came in spurts rather than sustained drives.

That’s why taking the Raiders plus the points makes sense. Las Vegas continues to play hard under Pete Carroll despite the record, and that effort matters with a big number attached. The Raiders’ offense is limited, but the defense does one thing well: stop the run. They rank top-5 in rushing yards allowed, which could force Philadelphia into longer third downs and keep the score in check.

Philadelphia’s defense remains solid, but its offense hasn’t shown the consistency needed to create separation. Covering a 12.5-point spread requires efficiency, something the Eagles simply haven’t delivered. With Maxx Crosby anchoring the pass rush and Brock Bowers providing a reliable target, Las Vegas has enough to hang around.

This profiles as a grind, not a blowout. The Eagles win, but the safer play is backing the Raiders to keep it close and cover the number.

BET UNDER 38.5 (-110).

Philadelphia has gone Under in 5 straight games, while Las Vegas has been held to 20 points or fewer in 8 of its last 9. The Raiders rank last in rushing offense and scoring offense, and the Eagles’ offense has stalled during its skid. With both teams struggling to finish drives, the Under is the safer play.

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