The Los Angeles Rams started slowly in 2025, winning only three of their first five games. The Rams have subsequently prevailed in seven of their last eight games and now have their eyes set on the NFC West title and the top seed in the NFC.
Behind Matthew Stafford, the Rams have the top PFSN’s Offense Impact (OFFi) score in the NFL this season. Los Angeles also has the fifth-best score on PFSN’s Defense Impact (DEFi) for the year, which is a massive improvement from ranking 23rd in 2024.
Entering Week 15, the Rams have held their opponents to 10 points or fewer in an NFL-best five games. Los Angeles recorded five such games in total across the 2023 and 2024 seasons.
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What Are the Rams’ Chances of Winning the NFC West and Being the No. 1 Seed?
The Rams will clinch a postseason berth if they defeat the Detroit Lions. According to PFSN’s NFL Playoff Predictor, entering Week 15, there is a 54.6% chance of winning the NFC West and a 40.6% chance of securing the top seed in the NFC. If the Rams win their final four games, they will have home-field advantage through the NFC playoffs.
The Rams and the Seattle Seahawks both have a record of 10-3; however, the Rams are currently in first place due to their victory in the Week 11 matchup against the Seahawks. The two teams play in Seattle on Thursday night to start Week 16.
Before the trip to Seattle, the Rams host the Lions, who are fighting to stay in the playoff race. PFSN analytics give Los Angeles a 56.3% chance of beating Detroit. A win would increase the Rams’ chances of being the top NFC team to 55.2%, while a loss would drop it to 22.9%.
The NFC West is actually a three-team race with the San Francisco 49ers just a game back in the standings with a 9-4 record. The 49ers and Rams split their two matchups, with each team suffering its only division loss of the season.
If the Rams win, their chances of winning the division will increase to at least 57.8%, and could rise to as high as 81.2% if both the Seahawks and 49ers lose. However, if the Seahawks win and the Rams lose, the Rams’ chances of winning the division will significantly drop, reaching at best 37.7%, and could fall to as low as 32.8% if San Francisco defeats the Tennessee Titans.
A loss by Los Angeles in Seattle next Thursday would shake up the NFC West race, giving both the 49ers and Seahawks control of their destiny, as they play against each other in San Francisco in Week 18.
Rams’ Remaining 2025 Schedule
According to PFSN’s NFL Strength of Schedule metric, the Rams have the fourth-hardest schedule to finish the season. The other two teams also have challenging schedules; the Seahawks and the 49ers have the seventh- and ninth-hardest remaining schedules, respectively.
In the showdown with Seattle, PFSN Analytics gives Los Angeles a 49.5% chance to win on Thursday. The Rams have at least a 66.9% chance to win their final two games.
Week 15: vs. Detroit Lions (56.3% chance to win)
Week 16: at Seattle Seahawks (49.5% chance to win)
Week 17: at Atlanta Falcons (66.9% chance to win)
Week 18: vs. Arizona Cardinals (74.7% chance to win)
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It’s all in front of the Rams. If they win their final four games, they will be the top seed in the NFC. If they lose a game, they will need help to avoid being a Wild Card team. Seattle faces four teams battling for playoff spots and positioning, while the 49ers have three such games.
Seahawks’ remaining schedule
Week 15: vs. Indianapolis Colts (65.0% chance to win)
Week 16: vs. Los Angeles Rams (50.5% chance to win)
Week 17: at Carolina Panthers (69.8% chance to win)
Week 18: at San Francisco 49ers (59.2% chance to win)
49ers’ remaining schedule
Week 15: vs. Tennessee Titans (68.9% chance to win)
Week 16: at Indianapolis Colts (51.5% chance to win)
Week 17: vs. Chicago Bears (50.5% chance to win)
Week 18: vs. Seattle Seahawks (40.8% chance to win)
The Green Bay Packers are a half-game behind the Rams and Seahawks for the best record in the NFC. The Packers have trips to play the Denver Broncos and Chicago Bears before finishing with the Baltimore Ravens at home and on the road against the Minnesota Vikings.
PFSN’s NFL Strength of Schedule metric ranks Green Bay’s remaining schedule the 15th hardest in the league.