The New York Jets entered the season with high expectations after bringing in a new head coach and a new quarterback, but the year has quickly turned disappointing. New York opened the campaign with seven straight losses and now sits at 3–10 heading into Week 15.
While the Jets have officially been eliminated from playoff contention, they remain firmly in the mix for the No. 1 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft. With four games still remaining, here’s a look at New York’s updated odds and what needs to happen for them to land the top selection.
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What Are the Jets’ Chances of Landing the No. 1 Overall Pick?
At this stage of the 2025 NFL season, the Jets are largely playing out the string. With playoff hopes long gone, the team has endured a difficult campaign in Glenn’s first year as head coach, struggling to find consistency on either side of the ball.
Following their Week 14 home loss to the Miami Dolphins, the Jets fell to 3–10 and were officially eliminated from postseason contention. While the loss ended any remaining playoff scenarios, it slightly improved New York’s odds of securing the No. 1 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft.
According to PFSN’s Playoff Predictor, the Jets currently have a 5.30% chance of landing the top pick and are projected to select seventh overall. That number could rise depending on how the final weeks unfold. A loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 15 would increase their odds to 7.80%, while a win would nearly remove them from contention, dropping their chances to just 0.20%.
With three teams entering Week 15 holding only two wins, New York will need several results to break its way to realistically compete for the No. 1 pick, and that goes beyond simply losing out.
The remainder of the Jets’ schedule includes several challenging matchups:
Much of New York’s struggles can be traced to the quarterback position. Justin Fields failed to meet expectations and was eventually benched in favor of Tyrod Taylor, who proved to be a capable backup before suffering an injury in Week 14. Since then, New York has turned to rookie Brady Cook.
Quarterback is expected to be the Jets’ top priority this offseason, and they possess the draft capital needed to pursue a franchise signal-caller. Recent mock drafts have already linked New York to Fernando Mendoza. For now, the remainder of the season will serve as an evaluation period as the Jets determine which pieces fit into their long-term plans and which changes are necessary moving forward.
Here’s what New York’s current draft slate looks like:
Round 1
Round 1 (via IND)
Round 2
Round 2 (via DAL)
Round 4
Round 4 (Compensatory)
Round 7 (via TEN)
Round 7 (via CLE)
Round 7 (Compensatory)