The Miami Dolphins (6-7) travel to Acrisure Stadium in Pennsylvania for a Monday Night Football matchup with the Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6). This game carries surprising AFC playoff implications, as Pittsburgh clings to a one-game lead in the AFC North division while Miami has manuvered into the postseason picture riding a four-game winning streak. With all that in mind, Bet365 posted a set of NFL Player Prop odds, including First TD prop odds, for playmakers like De’Von Achane.

Bet365 Featured Prop: De’Von Achane First TD (+450)

Bet365 offers odds of +450 on De’Von Achane to score the first touchdown against the Steelers on Monday Night Football.

Achane enters this ballgame with a tied for the league lead in first touchdowns scored (4), and sports a team-leading 11 touchdowns overall.Dimers’ predictive model gives Achane a 49.9% probability of scoring, making this prop a solid value compared to the implied odds.The Steelers defense has surrendered 6 touchdowns to running backs this season.

Note: Odds in this article are correct at time of publication and subject to change.

Expert Prediction: Dolphins vs. Steelers

After running 10,000 simulations, Dimers projects a tight, low-scoring finish at Acrisure Stadium, with Pittsburgh likely landing a key AFC victory, Steelers 22, Dolphins 20. That aligns with the market viewing this as a one-score game where margins matter late.

Best Bet: Dolphins +3.5

With Dimers giving Miami a 63% chance to cover +3.5, the spread offers value in a matchup projected to come down to the final possession. Even in a Steelers win scenario, the numbers consistently point toward Miami staying within the number.

NFL Player Props: Anytime & First Touchdown ProbabilitiesPlayerTeamAnytime TD %First TD %De’Von AchaneDolphins49.9%12.6%Jaylen WarrenSteelers42.0%10.4%DK MetcalfSteelers36.0%8.5%Kenneth GainwellSteelers34.9%8.2%Jaylen WaddleDolphins31.3%6.8%Darren WallerDolphins24.9%5.2%Pat FreiermuthSteelers20.1%4.3%Malik WashingtonDolphins18.8%3.8%Darnell WashingtonSteelers17.9%3.8%Ollie GordonDolphins16.6%3.3%

Achane stands out clearly, leading all players in both Anytime and First TD probabilities. If Miami scores early, the data strongly suggests the ball funnels through him.

Conclusion

Everything points to a competitive Monday night game. Dimers’ simulations favor Pittsburgh on the scoreboard, but Miami’s ability to keep games close makes Dolphins +3.5 the strongest angle. From a props standpoint, De’Von Achane remains the most likely touchdown catalyst on the field, especially if the Dolphins dictate early tempo.

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