Dolphins at Steelers odds, picks and predictions

The Miami Dolphins (6-7) and Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6) meet for Monday Night Football in a Week 15 matchup at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Dolphins vs. Steelers odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.

Steelers lead the all-time series 15-14. Miami won the most recent meeting 16-10 on Oct. 23, 2022, in South Florida, while Pittsburgh won 27-14 in its most recent home meeting on Oct. 28, 2019, against the Dolphins. In fact, the home team has won 4 in a row in the series, including a 2017 AFC Wild Card game on Jan. 2017.

The Dolphins won 34-10 on the road against the New York Jets last week, covering as a 2.5-point favorite as the Over (41.5) cashed. RB De’Von Achane got off to a quick start with 92 rushing yards and a first-quarter TD, but he left with a rib injury. Coach Mike McDaniel said Achane could’ve returned, but elected to keep him out, likely due to a lopsided score. RB Jaylen Wright filled in, posting a career-high 107 yards and a TD in relief. WR Jaylen Waddle had a TD, too.

Miami has won 4 in a row to keep itself in the playoff chase, while going 3-1 against the spread (ATS) in the past four outings. The Over against the Jets snapped a 4-game Under run.

Pittsburgh scored a big 27-22 win at Baltimore last week, taking first place in the AFC North. The Steelers won outright as 6-point underdogs as the Over (44.5) cashed. QB Aaron Rodgers threw for 284 yards and a TD, while WR DK Metcalf had 7 receptions for a season-best 148 yards.

Despite the win and cover last time out, Pittsburgh is still 2-3 straight up/ATS in the past 5 games, and the Under is 4-2 across the previous 6 outings.

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Dolphins at Steelers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 8:36 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Dolphins +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Steelers -175 (bet $175 to win $100)Against the spread: Dolphins +3 (-102) | Steelers -3 (-118)Over/Under (O/U): 42.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL: Best prop bets

Dolphins at Steelers key injuries

Dolphins

DB Elijah Campbell (ankle, knee) doubtfulOL Andrew Meyer (triceps) questionable

Steelers

DT Derrick Harmon (knee) outOG Andrus Peat (concussion) outCB James Pierre (calf) outLB T.J. Watt (lung) outDolphins at Steelers picks and predictionsPrediction

Steelers 23, Dolphins 19

If you’re a bit conservative, STEELERS (-175) is worth a play straight up if you don’t want to fiddle around with the points. If you were to bet a special boost or promo, that would be perfectly OK.

Personally, it’s not my kind of play, as that’s a bit too expensive for my liking, although as part of a multi-leg parlay is fine, too.

Back the STEELERS -3 (-118) lightly at home in what is basically a non-playoff playoff game, if that makes sense.

A few weeks ago, this game didn’t look terribly important, but suddenly Pittsburgh is in first place, and Miami has played itself into the playoff picture in the AFC. We should have a good, close game in the icy conditions in the Steel City.

UNDER 42.5 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

The Over is 2-1 in the past 3 games for the Steelers, but the Under has hit in 3 in a row on their home field.

And, while the Dolphins hit the Over last week, the Under is 4-1 in the past 5 outings. Go low.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Dolphins at Steelers odds, picks and predictions

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