Keagan Smith shares his favorite player prop bets on DraftKings Sportsbook for Sunday’s NFL Week 16 matchup between the Las Vegas Raiders vs. Houston Texans.
On Sunday’s NFL Week 16 slate, the Houston Texans seek to extend their winning streak out to seven games as they host the Las Vegas Raiders at NRG Stadium. This shouldn’t be too tough a test for the home team, though anything can happen in this league.
On DraftKings Sportsbook, Houston is a strong -14.5 favorite with -1450 odds on the Moneyline. Las Vegas comes in with +850 ML odds on the road with the game total set at 37.5 combined points.
Here are the top player prop bets on DraftKings Sportsbook for Raiders vs. Texans in Week 16.
Raiders vs. Texans best prop bets
C.J. Stroud over 228.5 passing yards (-112)
The Raiders’ defense looked solid to start the season but has crumbled since that point. The interesting part is that this trend is playing out in opposite fashion to a Texans offense that needed what feels like half the season to find its form. Well, Houston posted 40 points last week against the Cardinals as C.J. Stroud completed 75.9% of his passes for 260 yards and three touchdowns. Since returning from injury in Week 13, the young quarterback has now thrown for 276, 203 and 260 yards across his three games as this attack shows much-needed signs of improvement. Building momentum heading into the postseason will prove crucial for this Texans squad, so expect them to try and run up the score here and keep confidence up. The Raiders give up an average of 221.7 yards per game to opposing quarterbacks and Stroud’s gone over this line in six of his 11 contests. Plus there’s a matchup to exploit here for his top wideout — more on that momentarily.
Nico Collins 5+ receptions (-130)
An interesting tidbit per the folks over at PFF — Nico Collins is targeted at the 15th-highest rate when facing zone coverage. Why does that matter? The Raiders play zone coverage more than any other team in the NFL. While game script may not necessarily keep the Texans pass-happy throughout, they should do more than enough damage to help Collins get to at least five catches on the day. He’s done well to find soft spots in the coverage and get open, and with a 25.06% target share along with 0.25 targets per route run, the star wideout should get the ball plenty in this spot. Las Vegas’ secondary ranks 29th in coverage grade per PFF as well, so this looks like a positive matchup for Houston’s top target. I feel quite good about pairing this prop or Collins’ yardage line with Stroud’s own yardage prop bet as well in parlays. The correlation could pay off.