Football fans had this Week 17 matchup between the Philadelphia Eagles and Buffalo Bills circled on their calendar since the NFL schedule was released, and the teams are both jockeying for postseason positioning ahead of their showdown at Highmark Stadium on Sunday, December 28.
My early Eagles vs. Bills predictions and NFL picks are calling for Buffalo to cover the number, with the total also going Over in this bout between Super Bowl hopefuls.
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Eagles vs Bills predictions
Here are our early thoughts on the spread and total for this week’s game. We will have a full game preview (with a best bet and SGP) later in the week.
Early Eagles vs Bills spread pick: Bills -2.5
The Philadelphia Eagles haven’t shown enough on offense against the best teams on their schedule to cover the number against the Buffalo Bills on Sunday. This is also a potential letdown spot for Philly after clinching a postseason berth in Week 16.
There are obvious shortcomings on Buffalo’s roster, but the Bills have consistently put points on the board, and Josh Allen is the superior quarterback.
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Plus, the Bills have rattled off four consecutive wins and are 6-1 at Highmark Stadium.
I also expect this spread to move in Buffalo’s direction, so landing the Bills below the key number of -3 is an early week gift during the season of giving.
The Eagles didn’t pull away from the Washington Commanders in Week 16 until third-string QB Josh Johnson entered the game, and Philly ranked 27th in offensive DVOA while generating the ninth-lowest EPA per play over the prior six weeks.
Early Eagles vs Bills total pick: Over 45.5
We’re landing a low total because the early weather forecast is messy for upstate New York on Sunday. And, even with the highlighted shortcomings of the Philadelphia offense, the weapons are in place to move the ball and score against Buffalo.
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The Bills ranked 26th in defensive DVOA while allowing the 10th-highest DVOA from Week 10 through 15, and just allowed the offensively challenged Cleveland Browns to put up 20 on Sunday, after all.
Of course, predicting the weather seven days in advance is a roll of the dice, and nasty conditions aren’t a guarantee that scoring will be compromised. The Eagles played to the Under in six straight leading into their Week 16 win over the Commanders, too.
Eagles vs Bills odds
Eagles vs. Bills spread: Bills -2.5
Eagles vs. Bills moneyline: Eagles +126, Bills -148
Eagles vs. Bills Over/Under: 45.5
How to watch Eagles vs Bills
Date: Sunday, December 28, 2025, 4:25 p.m. ET
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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