How good is Houston’s defense? It is #1 overall (272.3 yards allowed per game), #1 in scoring (16.6 ppg allowed), #4 against the pass, #2 in yards per pass attempt allowed, #4 against the run, #3 in takeaways and tied for sixth in sacks. This is a rematch of a 2024 playoff fame (wild-card round) in which Houston destroyed Los Angeles while surrendering only 12 points. The Bolts may score more than that this weekend — but perhaps not by a lot. As such, my Texans vs Chargers pick is Under 39.5.
The good news for the home side is that it can also be expected to deliver a stout defensive performance. It is #3 overall, #6 against the pass, #6 in takeaways and tied with the Texans for #6 in sacks. No opponent since Week 11 has even reached the 20-point mark. The Texans might not, either. In fact, they have scored more than 23 points just once since Week 10. This has all the makings of one of those games between 2 great teams that is high on quality despite being an absolute defensive struggle.
Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers prediction: Under 39.5 (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.
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