play

Texas Tech football writer Don Williams preview Oregon, Orange Bowl

The Texas Tech football team plays Oregon in a 4-seed/5-seed matchup of College Football Playoff teams on Jan. 1 in the Orange Bowl. Both are 12-1.

Which college football teams have the best chances of winning their College Football Playoff quarterfinal games?

ESPN Analytics has revealed its Matchup Predictor numbers for the four second-round games in the College Football Playoff this season on Wednesday, Dec. 31, and Thursday, Jan. 1, and they offer some interesting win probabilities.

Take a look at the site’s picks for the CFP quarterfinal games, which pit Ohio State vs Miami in the Cotton Bowl, Texas Tech vs Oregon in the Orange Bowl, Indiana vs Alabama in the Rose Bowl and Georgia vs Ole Miss in the Sugar Bowl.

How correct will the analytics be?

All times MST.

College Football Playoff picks: Ohio State vs Miami | Texas Tech vs Oregon | Indiana vs Alabama | Georgia vs Ole Miss | The Republic’s CFP predictions | Game odds | National championship odds

Watch College Football Playoff games on FUBO

Cotton Bowl prediction

No. 2 Ohio State vs No. 10 Miami, Wednesday, Dec. 31, 5:30 p.m., ESPN (stream with FUBO)

Ohio State has a 70.5% chance to defeat Miami in the Cotton Bowl.

The site gives the Hurricanes a 29.5% shot at winning the College Football Playoff game over the Buckeyes on Dec. 31.

College Football Playoff schedule: Miami vs Ohio State | Oregon vs Texas Tech | Alabama vs Indiana | Ole Miss vs Georgia | TV channels

Orange Bowl prediction

No. 4 Texas Tech vs No. 5 Oregon, Thursday, Jan. 1, 10 a.m., ESPN (stream with FUBO)

Texas Tech has a 51.6% chance to defeat Oregon in the Orange Bowl.

The site gives the Ducks a 48.4% shot at winning the College Football Playoff game over the Red Raiders on Jan. 1.

Rose Bowl prediction

No. 1 Indiana vs No. 9 Alabama, Thursday, Jan. 1, 2 p.m., ESPN (stream with FUBO)

Indiana has a 71.4% chance to defeat Alabama in the Rose Bowl.

The site gives the Crimson Tide a 28.6% shot at winning the College Football Playoff game over the Hoosiers on Jan. 1.

Sugar Bowl prediction

No. 3 Georgia vs No. 6 Ole Miss, Thursday, Jan. 1, 6 p.m., ESPN (stream with FUBO)

Georgia has a 60.1% chance to defeat Ole Miss in the Sugar Bowl.

The site gives the Rebels a 60.1% shot at winning the College Football Playoff game over the Bulldogs on Jan. 1.

Reach Jeremy Cluff at jeremy.cluff@arizonarepublic.com. Follow him on X, formerly Twitter @Jeremy_Cluff.

Support local journalism: Subscribe to azcentral.com today. Sign up for azcentral Preps Now. And be sure to subscribe to our daily sports newsletters so you don’t miss a thing.